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USD/JPY sits near YTD tops, above mid-111.00s ahead of Powell/US data

  • USD/JPY gained strong follow-through traction on Tuesday and retested YTD tops.
  • Surging US bond yields acted as a tailwind for the USD and remained supportive.
  • The risk-off impulse failed to benefit the safe-haven JPY or hinder the momentum.

The USD/JPY pair continued scaling higher through the early North American session and tested YTD tops, around the 111.65 region in the last hour.

The pair prolonged its recent bullish trajectory and gained strong follow-through traction for the fifth successive session on Tuesday. The widening of the nominal yield differential between the US and Japanese government bonds continued driving flows away from the Japanese yen.

The US Treasury bond yields have been rallying since the end of last week after the Fed hinted that it would begin tapering its bond purchases as soon as November. Adding to this, the dot plot indicated that policymakers were inclined to raise interest rates in 2022.

Conversely, the 10-year Japanese government bond yields remained near zero due to the Bank of Japan's yield curve control policy. This, along with a broad-based US dollar strength, provided an additional boost to the USD/JPY pair and contributed to the positive momentum.

Bulls seemed rather unaffected by the risk-off impulse, which tends to benefit the safe-haven JPY. The global risk sentiment took a hit amid a selloff in the money markets, worries about the debt crisis at China Evergrandeand Group the intensifying energy crisis in Europe and China.

Next on tap will be Fed Chair Jerome Powell's testimony before the Senate Banking Committee and the release of the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index. Apart from this, the US bond yields and the broader market risk sentiment would provide some impetus to the USD/JPY pair.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price111.57
Today Daily Change0.56
Today Daily Change %0.50
Today daily open111.01
 
Trends
Daily SMA20109.94
Daily SMA50109.91
Daily SMA100109.92
Daily SMA200108.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High111.07
Previous Daily Low110.54
Previous Weekly High110.79
Previous Weekly Low109.12
Previous Monthly High110.8
Previous Monthly Low108.72
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%110.86
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%110.74
Daily Pivot Point S1110.67
Daily Pivot Point S2110.34
Daily Pivot Point S3110.14
Daily Pivot Point R1111.2
Daily Pivot Point R2111.4
Daily Pivot Point R3111.73

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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