USD/JPY sits near 1-month tops, bulls await a sustained move beyond mid-111.00s

  • USD/JPY lacks any firm direction and remained confined in a multi-day-old trading range.
  • Optimism over the Fed’s unlimited QE and the US stimulus package extended some support.
  • Some follow-through USD weakness seemed to hold bulls from placing any aggressive bets.

The USD/JPY pair extended its sideways price action on Wednesday and is currently placed near the top end of a multi-day-old trading range, just below mid-111.00s.

A combination of diverging forces failed to provide any meaningful impetus, or assist the pair to build on its recent strong positive momentum to one-month tops and led to a subdued/range-bound price action through the early North-American session.

The recent optimism over the Fed's unlimited QE and the passage of a massive $2 trillion economic stimulus package by the US Senate dampened demand for traditional safe-haven assets and extended some support to the major.

The uptick was further supported by a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields. However, some follow-through US dollar unwinding trade, led by easing concerns over tightening liquidity, kept a lid on any runaway rally for the major.

Meanwhile, Wednesday's surprisingly stronger US Durable Goods Orders data passed rather unnoticed and did little to impress bulls, warranting some caution before positioning for any further near-term appreciating move for the pair.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for some strong follow-through buying beyond mid-111.00s, which if cleared decisively, might accelerate the positive move and could possibly lift the pair further beyond the 112.00 round-figure mark.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 111.35
Today Daily Change 0.13
Today Daily Change % 0.12
Today daily open 111.22
Daily SMA20 107.69
Daily SMA50 108.99
Daily SMA100 109.01
Daily SMA200 108.3
Previous Daily High 111.72
Previous Daily Low 110.08
Previous Weekly High 111.51
Previous Weekly Low 105.15
Previous Monthly High 112.23
Previous Monthly Low 107.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 110.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 111.09
Daily Pivot Point S1 110.3
Daily Pivot Point S2 109.38
Daily Pivot Point S3 108.67
Daily Pivot Point R1 111.93
Daily Pivot Point R2 112.64
Daily Pivot Point R3 113.56



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