|

USD/JPY remains heavily offered below 113.00 handle, struggles near session lows

   •  A fresh wave of global risk-on trade/follow-through USD weakness prompts aggressive selling.
   •  The ongoing slide in the US bond yields/yield curve inversion adds to the USD bearish pressure.
   •  Mnuchin/Kudlow’s positive trade-related comments do little to provide any meaningful impetus.

The USD/JPY pair remained heavily offered through the early North-American session, albeit has managed to rebound around 10-20 pips from over one-week lows.

With investors looking past the latest optimism over the US-China trade truce, a fresh wave of global risk-aversion trade underpinned the Japanese Yen's safe-haven demand and prompted some aggressive selling.

Adding to this, a sharp fall in the US Treasury bond yields exerted some additional downward pressure on the already weaker US Dollar and further collaborated to the pair's steep intraday decline of over 90-pips.

Yields on the benchmark 10-year US Treasuries, dropped further below the 3% level, touching the lowest level since mid-September, while the curve between 2-year and 3-year notes inverted for the first time since 2007.

This against the backdrop of an already inverted yield curve between 2-year and 5-year notes failed to ease the prevalent USD selling bias, though oversold conditions on intraday charts helped limit further losses. 

Meanwhile, some positive trade-related comments by the Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow extended some support but did little to impress the bulls.

In absence of any major market moving economic releases, broader market risk sentiment and the USD/US bond yield dynamics might continue to act as key determinants of the pair's momentum through the US trading session.

Technical levels to watch

Immediate support is pegged near the 112.65 level, below which the downfall could further get extended towards the 112.30 region en-route the 112.00 round figure mark. On the flip side, the 113.00 handle now seems to act as an immediate resistance, which if cleared might trigger a short-covering bounce towards the 113.45-50 horizontal zone.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trims gains, back below 1.1800

EUR/USD now loses some upside momentum, returning to the area below the 1.1800 support as the Greenback manages to regain some composure following the SCOTUS-led pullback earlier in the session.

GBP/USD off highs, recedes to the sub-1.3500 area

Following earlier highs north of 1.3500 the figure, GBP/USD now faces some renewed downside pressure, revisiting the 1.3490 zone as the US Dollar manages to regain some upside impulse in the latter part of the NA session on Friday.

Gold climbs to weekly tops, approaches $5,100/oz

Gold keeps the bid tone well in place at the end of the week, now hitting fresh weekly highs and retargeting the key $5,100 mark per troy ounce. The move higher in the yellow metal comes in response to ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and modest losses in the US Dollar.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound as risk appetite improves

Bitcoin rises marginally, nearing the immediate resistance of $68,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins, including Ethereum and Ripple, hold key support levels as bulls aim to maintain marginal intraday gains.

Week ahead – Markets brace for heightened volatility as event risk dominates

Dollar strength dominates markets as risk appetite remains subdued. A Supreme Court ruling, geopolitics and Fed developments are in focus. Pivotal Nvidia earnings on Wednesday as investors question tech sector weakness.

Ripple bulls defend key support amid waning retail demand and ETF inflows

XRP ticks up above $1.40 support, but waning retail demand suggests caution. XRP attracts $4 million in spot ETF inflows on Thursday, signaling renewed institutional investor interest.