|

USD/JPY recovers early lost ground to sub-109.00 level, fresh weekly lows

   •  JPY continued benefitting from reviving safe-haven demand.
   •  A modest USD rebound helps rebound from weekly lows.
   •  Focus remains on NFP report, especially earnings growth.

The USD/JPY pair quickly reversed an early dip to sub-109.00 level and has managed to rebound around 20- pips from fresh weekly lows.

The pair extended its post-FOMC rejection slide from the key 110.00 psychological mark and weakened for the third consecutive session on Friday amid weaker trading sentiment around Asian equity markets, which was seen underpinning demand for the Japanese Yen's safe-haven appeal. 

Further downside, however, remained limited as investors seemed reluctant to place aggressive bets ahead of today's important release of the keenly watched US monthly jobs report. Moreover, the US Dollar has also turned higher for the day and further collaborated to the pair's modest uptick from Asian session lows. 

Apart from the headline NFP print, average hourly earnings data, expected to show a modest m-o-m growth of 0.2%, will be a key determinant of the USD price-dynamics and eventually influence the pair on the last trading day of the week. 

Technical outlook

Omkar Godbole, Analyst and Editor at FXStreet writes, “the ascending trendline support stands at 108.65. A close below that level would indicate the corrective rally from the low of 104.63 has ended, although the bears are seen regaining control only below 106.88 (April 17 low).”

“On the higher side, a close above 110.04 (61.8 percent Fibonacci retracement of Jan-Mar sell-off) would allow a stronger rally to 110.84 (Nov. 27 low) and 111.48 (Jan. 18 high),” he added further.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD surges to multi-day peaks past 1.3250

GBP/USD leaves behind Friday’s small pullback and advances past 1.3250 level, or five-day highs, on Monday. Cable’s upside follows extra losses in the Greenback, while traders continue to assess the geopolitical front and upcoming key events.

EUR/USD picks up extra pace north of 1.1400

EUR/USD extends its recovery past 1.1400 the figure as the NA session draws to a close on Monday. Indeed, the pair advances for the third straight day amid the persistent offered bias in the US Dollar. Meanwhile, market participants keep gearing up for the ECB Forum in Sintra and the release of critical US labour market data.

Gold bears flirt with $4,000 as Iran tensions and Fed hike bets support USD

Gold remains under some selling pressure for the second straight day on Tuesday, with bears awaiting a sustained break below $4,000 before positioning for deeper losses. Renewed US-Iran hostilities over the weekend cast doubts over the sustainability of the peace deal. This, along with elevated expectations for Fed rate hikes, offers some support to the US Dollar and keeps the bullion within striking distance of the YTD low, touched last week.

Bitcoin stalls at $60K as buyer conviction fades, Strategy authorizes BTC sales

Bitcoin is trading around the $60,000 level on Monday after a sharp decline last week. With the top crypto struggling to recover, analysts suggest the market remains firmly in defensive territory as investors await stronger signs of demand.

Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.

Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen

Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The ECB Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks. The new boss at the Fed, who has clearly said that the Fed should stop explaining everything, will need to talk – and traders should listen.