|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: To test the 20-day EMA after hitting a new session high around 130.50

  • USD/JPY recovers some ground as traders brace for a busy US economic calendar.
  • Buyers are eyeing a test of the 20-day EMA, as the RSI and RoC suggest the USD/JPY could print a leg-up in the near term.
  • SUD/JPY Price Analysis: Remains downward biased, but it could aim higher.

USD/JPY erases last Friday’s losses and reaches a new session high at 130.49, though slightly beneath the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), used as a barometer for short-term bias, which remains above the exchange rate. Therefore, the USD/JPY remains bearish despite trading at 130.49, above its opening price by 0.56%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a price action point of view, the USD/JPY remains bearish biased, even though it printed new daily highs. However, USD/JPY buyers need to clear the 20-day EMA at 130.57, to open the door for further gains. Traders should be aware the Rate of Change (RoC) depicts the buyer gaining momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is about to turn bullish, suggesting that upward pressure is building.

Therefore, the USD/JPY first resistance would be the 131.00 figure. A breach of the latter will expose a one-month-old downslope trendline at around 131.330-40, followed by the January 18 daily high at 131.57, and then January’s 11 swing high

As an alternate scenario, if the USD/JPY tumbles below 130.00. the next support would be the January 30 daily low of 129.19. A breach of the latter will expose the psychological 128.00, followed by the YTD low at 127.21.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price130.47
Today Daily Change0.59
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open129.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA20130.38
Daily SMA50133.83
Daily SMA100139.46
Daily SMA200136.76
 
Levels
Previous Daily High130.28
Previous Daily Low129.5
Previous Weekly High131.12
Previous Weekly Low129.02
Previous Monthly High138.18
Previous Monthly Low130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%129.8
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%129.98
Daily Pivot Point S1129.49
Daily Pivot Point S2129.11
Daily Pivot Point S3128.71
Daily Pivot Point R1130.27
Daily Pivot Point R2130.67
Daily Pivot Point R3131.05

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns lower toward 0.7000 after mixed Australian jobs data

AUD/USD is losing ground toward 0.7000 in the Asian session on Thursday, following the release of the Australian August jobs report, which showed that the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.6% versus 4.5% expected, while Employment Change beat estimates, arriving at 39.5K. Traders also remain unnerved ahead of the critical Trump-Xi meeting.

USD/JPY keeps the red near 158.00 as Japanese Yen firms up

USD/JPY retreats from three-week highs and holds losses near 158.00 in the Asian session on Thursday. Surging Japanese bond yields lift the Yen amid looming intervention risks, while the US Dollar preserves overnight gains to a two-month high amid hawkish Fed bets and elevated US bond yields.

Gold struggles near one-week low as traders await Trump-Xi meeting amid Fed hike bets

Gold sticks to a negative bias for the second straight day, trading below the $4,300 mark or a one-week low during the first half of the European session as traders await a crucial meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. Expectations for a major announcement are low, though market players will look for any progress on rare earths, technology restrictions, and an extension of the current US-China truce.

Bitcoin slips to $84,000 on rate hike bets – Worldcoin, Pepe lead losses
Bitcoin (BTC) price trades below $84,000 on Thursday, extending losses after a 2% decline the previous day. The pullback aligns with renewed inflation and rate-hike concerns, as US composite and services PMIs rose to 58.4 and 58.7 in September. Worldcoin (WLD) and Pepe (PEPE) recorded double-digit losses over the last 24 hours, emerging as the worst performers.
SNB leaves interest rates unchanged at 0%

Swiss National Bank leaves its key policy rates unchanged at 0%, as expected by market particiapnts. The key highlights of SNB’s monetary policy assessment are as followed: Banks' sight deposits held at the SNB will be remunerated at the SNB policy rate up to a certain threshold. SNB sees 2026 inflation at 0.7% (previous forecast was for 0.6%). The main risk to the economic outlook for Switzerland stems from developments in the global economy.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.