|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Stumbles below 134.00 and the 200-DMA on soft USD

  • The USD/JPY retraced from daily highs of 120 pips, as the USD is being offered.
  • USD/JPY: Daily close below the 200-DMA opens the door for a drop to 131.70s.

The US Dollar (USD) gave away its earlier gains courtesy of upbeat economic data revealed in the United States (US) and dropped 0.52% against the Japanese Yen (JPY). At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 134.63, below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), as the JPY gets ready to finish the week with gains of 3.26%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart portrays the pair as downward biased after breaking the 200-day EMA and a five-month-old upslope support trendline. Nevertheless, upbeat US data exacerbated a rally toward Friday’s high of 135.98. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at bearish territory and the Rate of Change (RoC) aiming lower showed that sellers were gathering momentum. Eventually, the USD/JPY erased those gains and some more.

If the USD/JPY achieves a daily close below the 200-day EMA at 134.99, it could pave the way for further downside action. The USD/JPY key support levels would be the psychological 134.00 figure. A breach of the latter could open the door for a 220 pip drop towards the August 11 low at 131.73, followed by August’s low at 130.39.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price134.68
Today Daily Change-0.63
Today Daily Change %-0.47
Today daily open135.31
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.78
Daily SMA50144.32
Daily SMA100141.18
Daily SMA200134.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High138.15
Previous Daily Low135.21
Previous Weekly High142.25
Previous Weekly Low138.05
Previous Monthly High148.82
Previous Monthly Low137.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%136.33
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%137.03
Daily Pivot Point S1134.3
Daily Pivot Point S2133.29
Daily Pivot Point S3131.36
Daily Pivot Point R1137.24
Daily Pivot Point R2139.16
Daily Pivot Point R3140.17

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.