|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Slumps from weekly highs as bearish-engulfing candle pattern looms

  • USD/JPY trades with losses, ending its five-day gain amid a falling US Dollar and risk-averse mood.
  • A daily close below 138.17 could drive the pair further down, with 138.00 as the primary support.
  • USD/JPY needs to retake the 138.00 level to regain upward momentum, with resistances at 138.17 and 139.00.

USD/JPY forms a bearish-engulfing candlestick pattern, snapping five days of gains, down almost 0.60%, after hitting a weekly high of 138.74. Risk-off and a weaker US Dollar (USD), weighed on the USD/JPY pair. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 137.90, below its opening price.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY remains upward biased, but a bearish candlestick formation could open the door for further losses. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator remains in bullish territory but aims lower, which could put a lid on the USD/JPY fall. However, if USD/JPY achieves a daily close below the December 15 daily low of 138.17, that would exert downward pressure on the pair.

In that outcome, the USD/JPY first support would be 138.00. A breach of the latter will expose the May 18 daily low of 137.28, followed by the May 17 swing low at 136.30.

The USD/JPY must claim the 138.00 figure for a bullish resumption. Once done, the next resistance would be the December 15 high of 138.17, followed by the 139.00 figure. A rally above the latter will expose the November 30 high at 139.89, before challenging the 140.00 figure.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily chart

USD/JPY Daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price137.89
Today Daily Change-0.82
Today Daily Change %-0.59
Today daily open138.71
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.38
Daily SMA50133.8
Daily SMA100133.07
Daily SMA200137.1
 
Levels
Previous Daily High138.75
Previous Daily Low137.29
Previous Weekly High135.77
Previous Weekly Low133.74
Previous Monthly High136.56
Previous Monthly Low130.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%138.19
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%137.85
Daily Pivot Point S1137.75
Daily Pivot Point S2136.79
Daily Pivot Point S3136.29
Daily Pivot Point R1139.21
Daily Pivot Point R2139.71
Daily Pivot Point R3140.66

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.