|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Slips below 157.00 as bearish engulfing pattern looms

  • USD/JPY slips from weekly highs of 157.71, down 0.30%.
  • Technical outlook remains neutral to upward, with key resistance at 157.00 and 157.71.
  • Support levels to watch: Tenkan and Kijun-Sen at 156.76/60, Senkou Span A at 156.32, and 156.00 mark.

The USD/JPY dropped from weekly highs of 157.71 on May 29 after data from the United States (US) painted an ongoing economic slowdown, which sent US Treasury yields plunging. Consequently, the Greenback is feeling the pain, as the pair is trading at 156.83, down 0.30%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The major remains neutral to upward bias after cracking the May 14 high of 156.76. That opened the door to challenge 157.00 and beyond, but the drop in the US 10-year yield, which correlates closely to the USD/JPY, weighed on the pair.

Momentum suggests that buyers remain in charge, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is bullish but aiming down.

If USD/JPY buyers reclaim 157.00, that could pave the way for further gains and expose overhead resistance at the current week’s high of 157.71. Once hurdled, the next stop would be 158.00, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) high of 160.32.

On the flip side, sellers could push the exchange rate as a ‘bearish engulfing’ chart pattern loom. A drop below the Tenkan and Kijun-Sen at around 156.76/60 will sponsor a leg down. The next line of defense for bulls would be the Senkou Span A at 156.32 before challenging the 156.00 mark.

USD/JPY Price Action – Daily Chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price156.82
Today Daily Change-0.83
Today Daily Change %-0.53
Today daily open157.65
 
Trends
Daily SMA20155.78
Daily SMA50154.35
Daily SMA100151.55
Daily SMA200149.48
 
Levels
Previous Daily High157.71
Previous Daily Low156.9
Previous Weekly High157.2
Previous Weekly Low155.5
Previous Monthly High160.32
Previous Monthly Low150.81
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%157.4
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%157.21
Daily Pivot Point S1157.13
Daily Pivot Point S2156.61
Daily Pivot Point S3156.32
Daily Pivot Point R1157.94
Daily Pivot Point R2158.23
Daily Pivot Point R3158.75

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).