|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Sellers remain hopeful until crossing 115.45

  • USD/JPY holds onto previous week’s losses, stays pressured around intraday low of late.
  • MACD conditions signal slow grind to the north but 50-SMA, weekly resistance line challenge buyers.
  • Monthly support line restricts immediate downside, Fibonacci retracements add to the trading filters.

USD/JPY struggles to regain 115.00, down 0.13% intraday near 114.95 by the press time, despite the recent risk-on mood during Monday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the yen pair extends pullback from the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement (Fibo.) of January-February upside and the 100-SMA.

However, an upward sloping trend line from February 02, close to 114.80 at the latest, restricts the quote’s immediate declines.

Following that, the 50% and 61.8% Fibo. levels, respectively around 114.90 and 114.55, will challenge the USD/JPY bears before directing them to the monthly low of 114.15.

On the flip side, the aforementioned SMA and Fibonacci retracement confluence near 115.25 precede the previous support line from late January, around 115.40, challenges the short-term USD/JPY buyers.

However, a convergence of 50-SMA and a descending trend line from February 10, close to 115.45, will be a tough nut to crack for the bulls.

It’s worth mentioning that the MACD conditions have recently favored the bulls but confirmation is necessary.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further declines expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price114.94
Today Daily Change-0.15
Today Daily Change %-0.13%
Today daily open115.09
 
Trends
Daily SMA20115.08
Daily SMA50114.79
Daily SMA100114.2
Daily SMA200112.1
 
Levels
Previous Daily High115.3
Previous Daily Low114.79
Previous Weekly High115.88
Previous Weekly Low114.79
Previous Monthly High116.35
Previous Monthly Low113.47
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%115.1
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%114.98
Daily Pivot Point S1114.82
Daily Pivot Point S2114.55
Daily Pivot Point S3114.31
Daily Pivot Point R1115.33
Daily Pivot Point R2115.57
Daily Pivot Point R3115.83

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD slides below 1.3250 after failing to break through 23.6% Fibo

The GBP/USD pair meets with a fresh supply during the Asian session on Wednesday and moves away from a nearly two-week high around the 1.3275 region, touched the previous day. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3235 zone, down 0.20% for the day, as traders look to speeches from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey and Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for a fresh impetus.

EUR/USD nudges higher above 1.1350 on softer Fed stance, traders await US jobs data

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains near 1.1380 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar edges lower against the Euro on less hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh. Traders will closely monitor the US jobs data for June later on Thursday.


Gold hovers near $4,050 as bullish USD caps gains ahead of US NFP

Gold steadies following the previous day's volatile two-way price swings and trades just below $4,050 during the Asian session on Thursday as traders now look to the crucial US NFP report for fresh impetus. In the meantime, Wednesday's US economic data kept Fed rate-hike expectations elevated and continues to act as a tailwind for the US Dollar. Furthermore, the uncertainty over US-Iran talks underpins the safe-haven buck, which, in turn, should cap the bullion.


Morpho surges as Standard Chartered projects $60 price by 2030

Standard Chartered has initiated coverage of decentralized finance lending protocol Morpho, forecasting its native token could reach $60 by the end of 2030 as the sector expands and institutional adoption of onchain finance accelerates.

Warsh stays on message as inflation remains the Fed's top priority
At the ECB Forum in Sintra, Fed Chair Kevin Warsh largely followed the script, offering little to change the market’s current view on monetary policy.
Just like Fed, is BoJ’s independence under threat?

When talking about central bank independence, most of the focus has been on Donald Trump’s pressure on the Federal Reserve. But a similar story, a quieter one for now, seems to be happening on the other side of the Pacific: Japan’s government may be testing the Bank of Japan’s independence.