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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Oscillates around 135.00 on a lack of catalyst

  • Long-term, the USD/JPY is neutral-to-upward biased, facing solid resistance at 135.50.
  • The USD/JPY hourly chart portrays a 40 pip narrow trading range ahead of Wednesday’s US CPI report.

The USD/JPY is almost flat amidst a calmed North American session ahead of July’s US inflation report, which could shed light on further Federal Reserve tightening in the September meeting. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 135.12, slightly up 0.14%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart portrays the pair as neutral-to-upward biased. In the last couple of days, the pair’s price action faced solid resistance around the 135.50 area, putting a lid on the USD/JPY, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 50.32 sideways illustrates the consolidation in the pair.

If the USD/JPY breaks above 135.50, the next resistance would be the 20-day EMA at 135.83. Once cleared, the next resistance would be the July 28 high at 136.57, followed by 137.00. On the flip side, the USD/JPY first support would be the 50-day EMA at 135.12. Break below will expose the 135.00 figure, followed by the August 5 daily low at 132.52.

USD/JPY Daily chart

From a near-term perspective, the one-hour USD/JPY chart illustrates Tuesday’s price action’s narrow 40 pip range. The 20 and 50-hour EMAs around the 134.95-97 area cement the previously mentioned, signaling that USD/JPY traders remain at bay, waiting for fresh US economic data, namely inflation. Therefore, a break above/below that range would determine the faith of the major.

Upwards, the USD/JPY’s first resistance would be the 135.50 mark. A breach of the latter will expose the July 27 daily high at 136.58, followed by 137.00. Downwards, the USD/JPY’s first support will be the August 8 daily low at 134.75. Once cleared, the next support will be the 200-hour EMA at 133.57.

USD/JPY Hourly chart

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price135.12
Today Daily Change0.23
Today Daily Change %0.17
Today daily open134.89
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.95
Daily SMA50135.02
Daily SMA100130.87
Daily SMA200122.86
 
Levels
Previous Daily High135.58
Previous Daily Low134.35
Previous Weekly High135.5
Previous Weekly Low130.4
Previous Monthly High139.39
Previous Monthly Low132.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%134.82
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%135.11
Daily Pivot Point S1134.3
Daily Pivot Point S2133.71
Daily Pivot Point S3133.06
Daily Pivot Point R1135.53
Daily Pivot Point R2136.18
Daily Pivot Point R3136.77

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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