|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Fluctuates ahead of the 145.00 figure as another FX intervention looms

  • The USD/JPY oscillates around Tuesday’s open, above the 144.70 mark.
  • The major remains upward biased but approaching the 20-day EMA, which, once cleared, could pave the way for further downside.
  • Short term, the USD/JPY is downward biased, as a double-top emerged in the 1-hour chart.

The USD/JPY fluctuates around the week’s high 144.78, amidst a risk-on impulse, as portrayed by US equities sustaining decent gains following the sell-off of the last couple of trading sessions, courtesy of an upbeat sentiment. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 144.80, almost flat.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY is range-bound in the 142.00-145.00 range following last week’s intervention. Even though the major remains upward biased, and the 20-day EMA is closing to price action, which means that a break below the latter would exert downward pressure on the pair in the near term.

Short term, the USD/JPY one-hour chart shows that a double-top chart pattern is emerging at around the 144.60-75 area, which could pave the way for further losses. Nevertheless, the 20 and the 50-EMAs, meandering around 144.51 and 144.16, respectively, would be difficult to surpass. But once cleared, a fall towards the S1 daily pivot at around 143.70 is on the cards.

On the flip side, the USD/JPY’s first resistance would be the 145.00 figure, the line in the sand imposed by the Bank of Japan, last week’s intervention. Break above will expose the YTD high at 145.90, ahead of the 146.00 figure.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price144.80
Today Daily Change0.02
Today Daily Change %0.01
Today daily open144.76
 
Trends
Daily SMA20142.51
Daily SMA50138.27
Daily SMA100135.6
Daily SMA200127.36
 
Levels
Previous Daily High144.79
Previous Daily Low143.25
Previous Weekly High145.9
Previous Weekly Low140.35
Previous Monthly High139.08
Previous Monthly Low130.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%144.2
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%143.84
Daily Pivot Point S1143.74
Daily Pivot Point S2142.73
Daily Pivot Point S3142.21
Daily Pivot Point R1145.28
Daily Pivot Point R2145.8
Daily Pivot Point R3146.82

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD edges lower below 1.1650 as Middle East tensions fuel US Dollar strength

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1635 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The US Dollar strengthens against the Euro as escalating Middle East conflict boosts safe-haven flows. Traders brace for the Eurozone Retail Sales and US weekly Initial Jobless Claims reports, which will be released later on Thursday. 

GBP/USD tests key moving averages as growth downgrade weighs

GBP/USD was nearly flat on Wednesday, edging up 0.08% to settle around 1.3370 in a quiet session. The pair has fallen sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870 and is now testing the 200-day Exponential Moving Average, with this week's one-week forex heatmap showing Pound Sterling as one of the worst performers against the US Dollar, down about 1.4% on the week.

Gold buyers stay hopeful amid Middle East war, China growth woes

Gold is building on the previous rebound in Thursday’s Asian trades, testing offers once again at the $5,200 threshold. Deeper escalation of the Middle East war and dovish US Federal Reserve monetary policy outlook continue to support Gold.

Trump presses Congress on CLARITY bill after meeting with Coinbase CEO

US President Donald Trump is urging legislators to pass the CLARITY Act after allegedly meeting with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong amid growing dispute over stablecoin yields.

First Venezuela, now Iran: The US-China energy war escalates

At first glance, the latest escalation involving the United States with both Iran and Venezuela looks like another chapter in a long-running geopolitical story. But viewed through a broader strategic lens, something else may be unfolding: Energy.

Bittensor extends recovery despite retail demand slump

Bittensor, a leading Artificial Intelligence token, is aging up above $190 at the time of writing on Wednesday. Steady price increases characterise the broader crypto market, with Bitcoin holding above $71,000 and Ethereum above $2,000.