|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Declines to five-month low, trades near 140.80

  • USD/JPY moves below the 141.00 psychological level on the back of the subdued US Dollar.
  • A firm break above the 142.00 level could lead the pair to reach a nine-day EMA at 142.41.
  • Technical indicators suggest a bearish sentiment to test the major support at 140.50.

USD/JPY extends its losses as the US Dollar (USD) weakens on the back of the dovish Federal Reserve’s (Fed) outlook in the first quarter of 2024. The USD/JPY pair trades lower around 140.80 during the early European session on Thursday. The 141.00 psychological level emerges as the immediate resistance following the next barrier at the 142.00 level.

if there is a breakthrough above the psychological level, it may support the USD/JPY pair to reach the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 142.41, following the psychological resistance at the 143.00 level. If the pair successfully surpasses this level, the next barrier would be the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 143.35.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) below the 50 level indicates a weaker sentiment for the USD/JPY pair. Additionally, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line is positioned below the centerline and the signal line, signaling a bearish momentum in the market for the USD/JPY pair.

The bearish sentiment could potentially lead the USD/JPY pair towards the major support region around 140.50. If there is a decisive break below this level, it may open the door for the pair to test the psychological level at 140.00.

USD/JPY: Daily Chart

USD/JPY: additional technical levels to watch

Overview
Today last price140.82
Today Daily Change-0.99
Today Daily Change %-0.70
Today daily open141.81
 
Trends
Daily SMA20144.32
Daily SMA50147.69
Daily SMA100147.63
Daily SMA200142.93
 
Levels
Previous Daily High142.85
Previous Daily Low141.55
Previous Weekly High144.96
Previous Weekly Low141.86
Previous Monthly High151.91
Previous Monthly Low146.67
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.05
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.35
Daily Pivot Point S1141.29
Daily Pivot Point S2140.77
Daily Pivot Point S3139.99
Daily Pivot Point R1142.59
Daily Pivot Point R2143.37
Daily Pivot Point R3143.89

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.