|

USD/JPY: Next resistance of note comes at 119.70 – UOB

Further gains in USD/JPY are expected to face the next barrier of note around 119.70, noted FX Strategists at UOB Group.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “While we expected USD to strengthen yesterday, we were of the view that ‘a break of 118.65 is unlikely’. However, USD blew past 118.65 and popped to a high of 119.12. Conditions are deeply overbought and USD is unlikely to strengthen much further. For today, USD is more likely to trade sideways at these higher levels, expected to be within a range of 118.45/119.10.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “We have expected a stronger USD since last Thursday (10 Mar, spot at 115.90). As USD soared, in our latest narrative from Tuesday (15 Mar, spot at 118.25), we highlighted that USD strength could continue for a while more. We added, a break of 118.65 would shift the focus to 119.10. Yesterday (16 Mar), USD cracked 118.65 and soared to 119.12. Further USD strength is not ruled out but overbought conditions suggest that the current rally may take a pause first. Looking ahead, the next resistance above 119.10 is at 119.70. On the downside, a breach of 117.90 (‘strong support’ level was at 117.30 yesterday) would indicate that the current strong upward pressure has eased.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.