USD/JPY: Near term rebound; sell rallies preferred – OCBC

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

USD/JPY rebounded amid chatters of USD short covering, month-end flows. Pair was last at 144.03 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Near term risks for the USD/JPY are to the upside

"Mild bearish momentum on daily chart is fading while RSI rose. Near term risks skewed to the upside. Resistance at 145.40 (50 DMA), 146.10 levels. Support at 142.20 levels."

"USD risks (FOMC minutes, Core PCE) this week may see further unwinding, leading to near term USD/JPY upside risks. We look for rally to fade into again. On Friday, we watch Tokyo CPI, IP, retail sales data. Hotter than expected data should curtail the recent rebound. While the timing of BoJ policy normalisation may be deferred, policy normalisation is not derailed."

"Fed-BoJ policy divergence and USD diversification theme should still support USDJPY's broader direction of movement to the downside."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD trims losses, flirts with the 1.1850 zone

EUR/USD is back on the back foot on Wednesday, slipping below the 1.1850 area as the US Dollar picks up some modest traction. The move comes as traders position ahead of a busy run of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Adding to the pullback are reports that the ECB’s Lagarde may step down before completing her term.

GBP/USD flirts with daily highs near 1.3580

GBP/USD manages to set aside two consecutive daily declines and trades with slight gains in the 1.3580 zone on Wednesday. Cable’s uptick comes despite acceptable gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold regains some shine, retargets $5,000 ahead of FOMC Minutes

Gold gathers fresh upside traction on Wednesday, leaving part of the weakness seen at the beginning of the week and refocusing its attention to the key $5,000 mark per troy ounce, all ahead of the release of the FOMC Minutes and despite the modest uptick in the US Dollar.

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.