|

USD/JPY: Likely to trade in a range between 146.80 and 147.85 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 146.80 and 147.85. In the longer run, outlook is mixed; USD could trade in a range between 146.40 and 148.40, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Outlook for USD/JPY is mixed

24-HOUR VIEW: "Subsequent to the sharp rise in USD that reached a high of 148.40 last Thursday, we highlighted on Friday (when USD was at 148.35) that 'there is a clear increase in upward momentum.' We held the view that 'there is a chance for USD to test 148.80.' However, we noted that 'given that conditions are quickly reaching overbought levels, a sustained break above this level seems unlikely.' While we were not wrong, as USD rose to a high of 148.77, we did not expect USD to plunge to a low of 146.54 during the NY session and then rebounded. The rebound from oversold conditions indicates that instead of continuing to decline, USD is more likely to trade in a range between 146.80 and 147.85."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "We turned positive on USD last Friday (22 August, spot at 148.35). We pointed out that the 'rapid increase in momentum indicates USD could rise above 148.80, potentially reaching 149.20.' Our revision was ill-timed, as USD dropped quickly and broke below our ‘strong support’ level of 147.35. The recent sharp price swings, which failed to result in a sustained directional move, have led to a mixed outlook for USD. For the time being, USD could trade in a range between 146.40 and 148.40."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.