|

USD/JPY is likely to trade in a range between 148.20 and 149.15 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range between 148.20 and 149.15. In the longer run, renewed upward momentum suggests USD could reach 149.15; it is unclear whether it could continue to rise to 149.55, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD//JPY might not continue to rise to 149.55

24-HOUR VIEW: "Our view for USD to trade in a range of 147.30/148.00 yesterday was incorrect. Instead of trading in a range, USD soared, reaching a high of 148.90. While the sharp and swift rise appears excessive, there is no sign of a potential pullback just yet. Overall, USD is likely to trade in a range today, most likely between 148.20 and 149.15."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Friday (19 Sep, spot at 148.00), we highlighted that USD 'could continue to advance, but it is unclear for now if it can reach 149.15.' After USD traded in a range for a few days, we revised our view yesterday (24 Sep, spot at 147.60), indicating that 'upward momentum has largely faded, and from here, we expect USD to trade in a range between 146.50 and 148.50.' Our revision in view was ill-timed, as USD soared to a high of 148.91. While the renewed upward momentum suggests USD could reach 149.15, it is currently unclear whether it could continue to rise toward the next major resistance at 149.55. To maintain the momentum, USD must hold above 147.70 (‘strong support’ level)."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD extends the drop to 1.3360

GBP/USD builds on Monday’s decline and briefly clinches five-day lows near 1.3360 on Tuesday. Cable’s extra pullback follows the better tone in the Greenback as uncertainty in the Middle East prompts investors to adopt a cautious stance. Meanwhile, an apathetic UK labour market report also collaborates with the selling pressure on the British Pound.

EUR/USD stays offered just above 1.1400

EUR/USD keeps the downtrend well in place for yet another day, challenging the 1.1400 contention zone on Tuesday. The continuation of the selling impulse in spot comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar, which continues to find support in the persistent effervescence surrounding the US-Iran crisis.

Middle East crisis intensifies, Gold up

Gold now seems to have embarked on a consolidative phase below the key $4,100 mark per troy ounce in the latter part of Tuesday’s session. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict and rising expectations for a hawkish Fed policy outlook are expected to limit the precious metal’s bullish momentum in the near term.

XRP extends recovery as on-chain activity grows
Ripple (XRP) ticks up and trades around $1.13 at the time of writing on Tuesday. This rebound aligns with a broader recovery in the cryptocurrency market, attributed to reports that mediators between the United States (US) and Iran are seeking a 10-day cessation of strikes to find a way back to the signed Memorandum of Understanding (MoU).
The Iranian war has again risen
The Iranian war has again risen to the top of the economics factor list. There is no end in sight. Intelligence experts say the current level of offense/retaliation will not change minds in Tehran, while in Washington, Trump fears all-out war, which would mean boots on the ground.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.