|

USD/JPY inches closer to 110 as greenback sell-off accelerates

  • Richmon Fed reports slowing activity in the manufacturing sector.
  • DXY drops to multi-year lows below 90.
  • Wall Street stays flat during the first half of the session.

The USD/JPY came under a renewed selling pressure in the NA session and fell to a fresh six-day low at 110.27. As of writing, the pair was trading at 110.30, down 60 pips, or 0.55%, on the day.

The latest drop witnessed in the pair seems to be the product of an increasing bearish pressure surrounding the greenback. The only data from the U.S. on Tuesday showed that the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index plummeted to 14 in January from 20 in December with the shipments and employment sub-indexes weighing on the composite index. Although this data doesn't usually impact the greenback in a significant way, it was bad enough to grab the sellers' attention. At the moment, the US Dollar Index is at its lowest level since December of 2014 at 89.88, where it's losing 0.3% on the day.

Earlier today, the Bank of Japan announced that it kept the policy rate and the amount of monthly QE purchases unchanged at -0.1% and 80 trillion JPY respectively. However, the monetary policy statement noted that the inflation outlook improved somewhat towards 2% inflation target since the previous meeting, allowing the JPY to start gathering strength against its rivals.

During the early trading hours of the Asian session on Wednesday, trade balance figures from Japan will be released with the markets expecting the surplus to rise to 530 billion JPY from 113.4 billion JPY in December. 

Technical levels to consider

With a decisive break below 110.20 (Jan. 17 low), the pair could easily extend its losses to 110 (psychological level) before testing 109.50 (Sep. 14 low) next. On the upside, resistances align at 111.15 (daily high), 111.75 (200-DMA) and 112.30 (50-DMA).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds above 1.1750 due to cautious trade before FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD holds ground after four days of little losses, trading around 1.1770 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady as US Dollar moves little amid market caution ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee December Meeting Minutes due later in the day, which could offer insights into the Federal Reserve’s 2026 outlook.

GBP/USD finds key support near 1.35 despite year-end grind

GBP/USD remains bolstered on the high end as markets grind through the last trading week of the year. Cable caught a bullish tilt to keep price action on the high side of the 1.3500 handle, though year-end holiday volumes are unlikely to see significant progress in either direction as 2025 draws to a close.

Gold gains on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price edges higher above $4,350 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday. The precious metal recovers some lost ground after falling 4.5% in the previous session, which was gold's largest single-day loss since October. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Solana risks correction within descending wedge as bearish bets rise

Solana hovers above $120 at press time on Tuesday after a nearly 2% decline on Monday. The SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds see renewed interest after recording their lowest weekly inflow last week.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).