USD/JPY in search of a firm near-term direction, stuck in a range above mid-107.00s

  • USD/JPY remains confined in a one-week-old narrow trading band.
  • Weaker trading sentiment benefitted the JPY’s safe-haven demand.
  • Sustained USD buying helped limit any meaningful slide for the pair.

The USD/JPY pair extended its sideways consolidative price action and remained confined in a narrow trading band, just above mid-107.00s.

The pair has been oscillating in 70-80 pips over the past one week or so and struggled for a firm near-term direction as investors seemed to wait for a fresh catalyst before placing any aggressive bets.

The pair did get a goodish intraday lift on Thursday after reports indicated that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) was planning to remove the bond-buying limit, albeit failed to capitalize on the move beyond the 108.00 mark.

Meanwhile, the latest optimism over additional $484 billion US economic package turned out to be short-lived amid indications that Gilead Sciences' antiviral drug remdesivier failed to help severely ill COVID-19 patients in its first clinical trial.

This was evident from a weaker trading sentiment surrounding the global equity markets, which underpinned the Japanese yen's perceived safe-haven demand and turned out to be one of the key factors capping the major.

On the other hand, uncertainty over the severity of the economic damage from the coronavirus pandemic continued benefitting the US dollar's status as the global reserve currency and helped limit any meaningful downside for the pair.

Hence, it will be prudent to wait for a convincing break through the mentioned trading range to confirm the pair's near-term trajectory. A  sustained strength above the 108.00-10 region might be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders.

Moving ahead, market participants now look forward to the release of the US Durable Goods Orders, which might influence the USD price dynamics and produce some meaningful trading opportunities later during the early North-American session.

Technical levels to watch


Today last price 107.7
Today Daily Change 0.10
Today Daily Change % 0.09
Today daily open 107.6
Daily SMA20 107.97
Daily SMA50 108.38
Daily SMA100 108.85
Daily SMA200 108.33
Previous Daily High 108.04
Previous Daily Low 107.35
Previous Weekly High 108.52
Previous Weekly Low 106.93
Previous Monthly High 111.72
Previous Monthly Low 101.18
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 107.61
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 107.78
Daily Pivot Point S1 107.28
Daily Pivot Point S2 106.97
Daily Pivot Point S3 106.59
Daily Pivot Point R1 107.98
Daily Pivot Point R2 108.36
Daily Pivot Point R3 108.68



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