|

USD/JPY heading topside for Friday, aiming for 148.50

  • The USD/JPY is seeing recovery on Friday into the top end of the week's trading.
  • The BoJ maintained its negative rate policy regime, as markets broadly expected.
  • US PMIs came in mixed, capping any decisive moves for the Greenback.

The USD/JPY is set to close out the trading week just south of the 148.50 level after peaking at an intraday high of 148.40 as the US Dollar (USD) covers its bids on a mixed Purchasing Manager Index (PMI) reading.

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) kept the bottom band of its main policy rate at -0.1% early on Friday, which shook off some bullish momentum for the Yen (JPY).

Read more:

BoJ’s Ueda: No change to way of policy decision making process

US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI improves to 48.9, Services PMI declines to 50.2 in September

Yen bulls found little love from the BoJ on Friday as the Japanese central bank reaffirmed its easy monetary policy stance until they see Japanese inflation maintaining 2% "in a stable manner". Inflation in the Japanese economy is on the high end for the time being, but price growth is expected to decline appreciably in the coming months, and the BoJ continues to be far off of a hawkish policy change.

US PMI figures came in somewhere in the middle, with manufacturing showing a minor improvement and services backsliding.

The US S&P Global Manufacturing PMI jumped further than expected, printing at 48.9 versus the expected 48, but the Services component missed to the downside, printing at 50.2 compared to the forecast 50.6. The mixed printing helped prop up the Greenback against the Yen, but kept gains restrained within the previous day's highs.

USD/JPY technical outlook

Thursday's backslide saw the USD/JPY fall to the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) before giving a rebound through early Friday trading.

The pair has gained steadily through the week, and is set to finish on the high end, currently looking for a foothold just beneath the week's peak of 148.46.

On the daily candlesticks the USD/JPY is decidedly bullish, up nearly 8% from July's bottom near 137.20. Bullish price momentum is seeing technical support from the 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the US Dollar has gained over 13% against the Japanese Yen so far this year.

USD/JPY technical levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price148.26
Today Daily Change0.67
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open147.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147.09
Daily SMA50144.54
Daily SMA100142.3
Daily SMA200137.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High148.46
Previous Daily Low147.32
Previous Weekly High147.95
Previous Weekly Low145.9
Previous Monthly High147.38
Previous Monthly Low141.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%147.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%148.03
Daily Pivot Point S1147.12
Daily Pivot Point S2146.65
Daily Pivot Point S3145.98
Daily Pivot Point R1148.26
Daily Pivot Point R2148.93
Daily Pivot Point R3149.4

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.