|

USD/JPY fluctuates in tight range below 106

  • 10-year US T-bond yield edges lower on Wednesday.
  • US Dollar Index clings to modest daily gains above 98.
  • Coming up: Speech by FOMC members Barkin and Daly.

The USD/JPY pair closed the previous day in the negative territory as falling US Treasury bond yields reminded investors of concerns over a recession in the US and provided a boost to traditional safe-havens such as the JPY. With the markets calming down on Wednesday, the pair is moving up and down in a very tight 25-pip range and was last seen trading at 105.78, adding 0.05% on a daily basis.

Subdued market action on Wednesday

Although the 10-year US Treasury bond yield is down more than 1% on the day, this drop seems to be an extension of Tuesday's sell-off and doesn't allow the JPY to capitalize on it.

On the other hand, the US Dollar Index (DXY) is clinging to modest daily gains above the 98 handle as the heavy selling pressure surrounding major European currencies, especially the British pound, helps the Greenback find demand. With the DXY adding 0.1% on the day at 98.10, the pair stays in the positive territory.

Later in the session, Richmond Fed President Barkin and San Francisco Fed President Daly are both scheduled to deliver speeches. The US economic docket won't be featuring any significant macroeconomic data releases. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 Futures is up 0.11% on the day, suggesting that Wall Street's main indexes are likely to open the day modestly higher. In the absence of fundamental drivers, the risk perception is likely to remain as the driver of the pair's action.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price105.77
Today Daily Change0.02
Today Daily Change %0.02
Today daily open105.75
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.34
Daily SMA50107.37
Daily SMA100108.75
Daily SMA200109.84
Levels
Previous Daily High106.18
Previous Daily Low105.59
Previous Weekly High106.74
Previous Weekly Low105.26
Previous Monthly High109.01
Previous Monthly Low107.21
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.95
Daily Pivot Point S1105.5
Daily Pivot Point S2105.25
Daily Pivot Point S3104.92
Daily Pivot Point R1106.09
Daily Pivot Point R2106.42
Daily Pivot Point R3106.67

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).