|

USD/JPY falls to retest 200-DMA support near 110.25 area

   •  Reviving safe-haven demand triggers the initial leg of retracement from 111.00 neighborhood.
   •  A modest USD retracement from 11-month tops and softer US data adds to the selling pressure.

The USD/JPY pair extended its retracement slide from weekly tops and dropped to fresh session lows in the last hour.

The latest political development in Italy, where in Lega Nord’s Economist and euro-skeptic Alberto Bagnai was appointed Head of the Senate Finance Committee, prompted some safe-haven buying and triggered the initial leg of retracement. 

The pair's fall from an intraday high level of 110.75 accelerated during the early North-American session and was further weighed down by a modest US Dollar retracement from 11-month tops, following the release of mixed US economic data - Philly Fed manufacturing index and initial weekly jobless claims.

Looking at the broader picture, the pair has once again failed ahead of the 111.00 handle but has still managed to hold within previous week's trading range. Hence, it would be prudent to wait for a decisive break in either direction before determining the pair's near-term trajectory. 

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent retracement is likely to find support near the very important 200-day SMA, below which the pair is likely to slide back towards 109.80-75 intermediate support en-route mid-109.00s.

On the flip side, the 109.65-70 region might continue to act as an immediate hurdle and is followed by the 110.90-111.00 barrier, which if cleared should lift the pair back towards May monthly highs resistance near the 111.40 area.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains near 1.1650 amid Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1645 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its December meeting on Wednesday could weigh on the US Dollar against the Euro. Later on Monday, the German Industrial Production and Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence reports will be published. 

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3330 as traders await Fed rate decision

The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band, around the 1.3320-1.3325 region, during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, remain close to the highest level since October 22, touched last Thursday, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength and acceptance above the 100-day Simple Moving Average before placing fresh bets.

Gold edges higher amid dovish Fed bets and geopolitical risks; lacks bullish conviction

Gold attracts some dip-buying at the start of a new week and stalls Friday's modest pullback from the $4,260 area, or the vicinity of its highest level since October 21. The US Dollar continues with its struggle to attract any meaningful buyers and languishes near a one-month low amid dovish Federal Reserve expectations. 

Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.