|

USD/JPY dips to test a previous top at 156.60 following hot Japanese inflation

  • The Yen trims some losses following higher than expected inflation levels in Japan.
  • The hot inflation figures have increased hopes of a BoJ hike in January.
  • Technically, the pair is correcting lower, after having reached strongly overbought levels.

The Yen is picking up from five-month lows on Friday, supported by a somewhat softer US Dollar and hot Japanese inflation figures. The Dollar has pulled back from levels right below 158.00 and is testing support at the previous  156.60 resistance area.

Japanese data released on Thursday showed that inflation accelerated to a 2.9% yearly rate in November from 2.3% in October. Likewise, the core inflation increased 2.7% year-on-year, beating expectations of a 2.6% increment. These figures keep hopes of a January hike alive and provide some support to an ailing Yen.


BoJ-Yen divergence has crushed the JPY


The Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged on Thursday and conditioned a further rate hike to the evolution of next spring’s wage negotiations. Investors, who were expecting clearer signs of a January hike, were disappointed and the Yen tumbled against its main rivals.

One day earlier, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates but signalled a slower easing path for next year. The hawkish stance sent the US Dollar and US Treasury yields surging.


USD/JPY Technical analysis
 

The USD/JPY is correcting lower, after rallying about 2.6% earlier this week, reaching overbought levels on most timeframes.

The broader trend, however, remains positive, with bears contained above the previous top, at 156.60 and the next support level at 155.85 ahead of 154.45. Resistances are 158.00 and 158.80.


USD/JPY 4-Hour Chart

USDJPY Chart

Japanese Yen PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

 USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD -0.24%-0.02%-0.39%-0.03%0.22%0.08%-0.48%
EUR0.24% 0.22%-0.13%0.22%0.47%0.32%-0.24%
GBP0.02%-0.22% -0.35%0.00%0.22%0.10%-0.45%
JPY0.39%0.13%0.35% 0.36%0.61%0.45%-0.08%
CAD0.03%-0.22%0.00%-0.36% 0.25%0.11%-0.44%
AUD-0.22%-0.47%-0.22%-0.61%-0.25% -0.16%-0.70%
NZD-0.08%-0.32%-0.10%-0.45%-0.11%0.16% -0.54%
CHF0.48%0.24%0.45%0.08%0.44%0.70%0.54% 

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

(This story was corrected on December 20 at 13:16 GMT to say, in the first paragraph, that the USD/JPY pair is testing support at 156.60, not 56.60.)

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD gathers strength above 1.1750 as Fed rate cut prospects pressure US Dollar

The EUR/USD pair trades in positive territory around 1.1775 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut in 2026 weighs on the US Dollar against the Euro. Markets brace for US President Donald Trump to nominate a Fed chair to replace Jerome Powell, whose term ends in May. 

GBP/USD edges lower near 0.7400, eyes Fed rate cut outlook

GBP/USD edges lower after a gap-up open, trading around 0.7410 during the Asian hours on Monday. However, the pair may gain ground as the US Dollar faces challenges, which could be attributed to growing expectations of two more rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026.

Gold retreats from record highs, heads toward $4,550

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high at $4,550 earlier in the Asian session on Monday and eases toward $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the New Year break. The US Dollar bearish bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Ethereum Annual Price Forecast: ETH poised for growth in 2026 amid regulatory clarity and institutional adoption

Ethereum lost 12% of its value in 2025, declining from $3,336 at the beginning of the year to $2,930 as of the third week of December, a stark contrast from 2024's 48% gain. But that percentage doesn't do justice to the wild year ETH had in 2025.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.