|

USD/JPY clings to daily gains near mid-109.00s but lacks follow-through

   •  A goodish pickup in the US bond yields offset weaker USD and remains supportive.
   •  Reviving safe-haven demand, amid negative equities now seemed to cap gains.

The USD/JPY pair maintained its strong bid tone through the early NA session and is currently placed around mid-109.00s, just a few pips away from daily tops touched earlier.

Despite the ongoing US Dollar profit-taking slide, the pair caught some fresh bids at the start of a new trading week, with bulls now seemed to track a goodish pickup in the US Treasury bond yields

Even the prevalent mixed sentiment around equity markets, which tends to underpin the Japanese Yen's safe-haven demand, did little to prompt any fresh selling, albeit now seems to contribute towards capping any further gains. 

With an empty US economic docket, the US bond yield dynamics and the broader market risk sentiment might continue to act as key determinants of the pair’s momentum through the NY trading session. 

On Tuesday, Chinese data dump might influence investors’ risk appetite and eventually provide some meaningful impetus later during the early Asian session.

Technical levels to watch

Any subsequent up-move is likely to confront resistance near the 109.80-85 region, above which the pair is likely to surpass the 110.00 handle and head towards testing the very important 200-day SMA hurdle near the 110.15 region.

On the flip side, any meaningful retracement is likely to find immediate support near 109.20 level and is followed by the 109.00 handle, which if broken might accelerate the fall further towards the 108.70-65 support area.
 

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).