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USD/JPY climbs to 149.50 amid the stronger USD, bulls turn cautious amid intervention fears

  • USD/JPY extends its upside near 149.50 amid the USD demand.
  • The US Durable Goods Orders rose by 0.2% m/m vs. -5.6% prior, better than -0.5% expected.
  • Traders turn cautious amid the fear of FX intervention by Japanese authorities.

The USD/JPY pair surges to 149.50 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The uptick of the pair is bolstered by higher Treasury yields, upbeat US data, and risk aversion in the market. Meanwhile, the US Dollar Index (DXY) climbs to 106.65, the highest since November. The 10-year Treasury yield settled at 4.60%, its highest level since 2007.

The US Census Bureau revealed on Wednesday that Durable Goods Orders rebounded in August, rising 0.2% m/m from a 5.6% drop in the previous reading, against expectations of a 0.5% m/m fall. Additionally, Durable Goods Orders ex Transportation rose by 0.4% m/m, a better than expected of 0.1% rise. Core capital goods orders rose 0.9% from the previous reading of a 0.4% drop, above the market consensus of 0%. In response to the data, the Greenback gained momentum across the board and weighed on the Japanese Yen (JPY).

Risk-averse sentiment dominated markets as investors weighed higher for longer rates narrative against growth risks from the possibility of an imminent government shutdown in the US. However, market participants will keep an eye on the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell’s speech this week. The less hawkish tone might cap the upside of the USD against its rivals.

On the JPY’s front, Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki is back on the wires with some verbal intervention. Suzuki said once again that he was watching FX with a sense of urgency. Traders turn cautious to place bullish bets on the USD/JPY pair since the 150.00 mark would be the threshold at which Japanese authorities would take action to address the Japanese Yen's depreciation.

Market players will focus on the US weekly Jobless Claims report, the third revision of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the second quarter, and Pending Home Sales data. The attention will shift to the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, scheduled for release on Friday.

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price149.5
Today Daily Change0.44
Today Daily Change %0.30
Today daily open149.06
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147.46
Daily SMA50145.14
Daily SMA100142.72
Daily SMA200137.78
 
Levels
Previous Daily High149.19
Previous Daily Low148.71
Previous Weekly High148.46
Previous Weekly Low147.32
Previous Monthly High147.38
Previous Monthly Low141.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%149
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%148.89
Daily Pivot Point S1148.78
Daily Pivot Point S2148.5
Daily Pivot Point S3148.3
Daily Pivot Point R1149.26
Daily Pivot Point R2149.47
Daily Pivot Point R3149.75

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

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