USD/JPY: Breach of 148.40 to indicate USD is not rising further – UOB Group

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a range, likely between 148.90 and 149.90. In the longer run, there has been no further increase in momentum; a breach of 148.40 would indicate that USD is not rising further, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

To trade between 148.90 and 149.90

24-HOUR VIEW: “We expected USD to trade in a 148.55/149.60 range yesterday. USD then traded between 148.86 and 149.81, closing 149.62 (+0.29%). The price movements provide no fresh clues, and we continue to expect USD to trade in a range, likely between 148.90 and 149.90.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “We continue to hold the same view as yesterday (16 Oct, spot at 149.10). As highlighted, the price action over the past few days did not result in further increase in momentum. From here, a breach of 148.40 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would indicate that USD is not rising further. Note that we have held a positive USD view since the start of the month. On the upside, if USD were to break and remain above 150.05, it would increase the chance of it rising further to 151.00.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10

Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.

Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?

Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.