|

USD/JPY: Any further decline is unlikely to reach 142.70 – UOB Group

Increase in momentum may lead to US Dollar (USD) breaking below 143.50 against Japanese Yen (JPY); any further decline is unlikely to reach 142.70. In the longer run, buildup in momentum could trigger further USD declines toward 142.70, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD must hold below 144.85 to sustain the momentum buildup

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, when USD was at 144.45, we stated that 'the current price movements appear to be part of a range trading phase, most likely between 144.05 and 145.00.' However, USD traded in a range of 143.76/144.76 before closing at 144.01, down by 0.44%. The price action has resulted in an increase in downward momentum. Today, USD may break below the 143.50 support level, but based on the current momentum, any further decline is unlikely to reach 142.70. To keep the momentum going, USD must not break above 144.45 (minor resistance is at 144.20)."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our most recent narrative was from last Wednesday (25 Jun, spot at 144.85), in which we indicated that USD 'appears to have moved into a range trading phase, and is likely to trade between 143.50 and 146.50 for the time being.' Yesterday, USD dropped to a low of 143.76. Downward momentum is beginning to build, and a break of 143.50 could trigger further declines toward 142.70. To sustain the momentum buildup, USD must hold below 144.85."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests nine-day EMA support near 1.1750

EUR/USD loses ground for the fourth consecutive session, trading around 1.1760 during the Asian hours on Monday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a weakening bullish bias, as the pair tests to break below the lower boundary of the ascending channel pattern.

GBP/USD softens below 1.3500 but retains positive technical outlook

The GBP/USD pair loses momentum near 1.3485 during the early European session on Monday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand. The potential downside for a major pair might be limited, as the Bank of England guided that monetary policy will remain on a gradual downward path.

Gold pulls back from record high as profit-taking sets in

Gold price retreats from a record high near $4,550 during the early European trading hours on Monday as traders book some profits ahead of holidays. A renewed US Dollar could also weigh on the precious metal, as it makes Gold more expensive for non-US buyers, pressuring prices.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP bulls regain strength

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record roughly 3% gains on Monday, regaining strength mid-holiday season. Despite thin liquidity in the holiday season, BTC and major altcoins are regaining strength as US President Donald Trump pushes peace talks between Russia and Ukraine. The technical outlook for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple gradually shifts bullish as selling pressure wanes.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.