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USD/INR Price Analysis: Key indicator reports strongest bearish bias since December

  • USD/INR's momentum indicator shows a downward move is gathering pace. 
  • Stochastic, too, shows a bearish bias and suggests scope for a notable pullback.

The path of least resistance for USD/INR appears to be on the downside, as a key indicator is reporting the strongest bearish bias since mid-December. 

The MACD histogram, a technical tool used to identify trend changes and trend strength, is printing a negative value of 0.1396, the lowest since Dec. 12. A crossover below zero represents bearish reversal and deeper bars below the zero line indicate a strengthening of the downward momentum. 

The MACD is printing a deeper bar for the third straight session. With the bearish momentum gathering pace, USD/INR risks falling 75.845 below (April 23 low). That would establish a lower highs, lower lows pattern, and confirm a bullish-to-bearish trend change on the daily chart. 

The slow stochastic oscillator is also reporting bearish conditions below a below-50 print. That said, the bearish bias would weaken if the spot finds acceptance above 76.4050 (April 24 high). 

Daily chart

Trend: Bearish

Technical levels

USD/INR

Overview
Today last price76.11
Today Daily Change0.0000
Today Daily Change %0.00
Today daily open76.11
 
Trends
Daily SMA2076.2228
Daily SMA5074.7145
Daily SMA10072.9633
Daily SMA20072.0429
 
Levels
Previous Daily High76.34
Previous Daily Low76.11
Previous Weekly High77.0105
Previous Weekly Low75.8245
Previous Monthly High77.86
Previous Monthly Low71.9975
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%76.1979
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%76.2521
Daily Pivot Point S176.0333
Daily Pivot Point S275.9567
Daily Pivot Point S375.8033
Daily Pivot Point R176.2633
Daily Pivot Point R276.4167
Daily Pivot Point R376.4933

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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