|

USD Index Price Analysis: Further south comes 104.85

-  DXY extends the corrective move to the 105.50 zone.

-  The loss of 105.00 exposes a move to the 104.85 level.


DXY retreats for the third consecutive session and revisits the 105.50 zone on Tuesday.

Further decline appears on the cards in the very near term. Against that, the loss of the 105.00 support could put the so-far November low of 104.84 (November 6) to the test prior to the weekly low of 104.42 (September 11), which appears reinforced by the transitory 100-day SMA at 104.17.

In the meantime, while above the key 200-day SMA, today at 103.61, the outlook for the index is expected to remain constructive.

DXY daily chart

Dollar Index Spot

Overview
Today last price105.59
Today Daily Change27
Today Daily Change %-0.08
Today daily open105.67
 
Trends
Daily SMA20106.06
Daily SMA50105.87
Daily SMA100104.15
Daily SMA200103.61
 
Levels
Previous Daily High105.96
Previous Daily Low105.59
Previous Weekly High106.01
Previous Weekly Low104.85
Previous Monthly High107.35
Previous Monthly Low105.35
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%105.73
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%105.82
Daily Pivot Point S1105.52
Daily Pivot Point S2105.37
Daily Pivot Point S3105.15
Daily Pivot Point R1105.89
Daily Pivot Point R2106.1
Daily Pivot Point R3106.25

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD holds above 0.6950 as bullish USD caps gains

AUD/USD edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, stalling a two-day recovery move from a two-month low, touched last week. An extended rout in the fixed income market keeps US bond yields elevated near multi-year highs. This, along with geopolitical uncertainties, helps the US Dollar retain its bullish tone despite receding October Fed hike bets. However, expectations for another RBA rate hike this month could act as a tailwind for the Aussie.

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 despite hawkish BoJ outlook

USD/JPY rises back above 158.00 in the early European morning on Tuesday. The pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen fails to find any inspiration from hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks. Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainty and elevated US bond yields keep the US Dollar near its YTD high despite receding October Fed hike bets. This, in turn, helps the pair stay supported.

Gold seems vulnerable near two-month low amid strong USD, higher US bond yields

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses heading into the European session, though it holds above the $4,100 mark, a two-month low touched earlier this Tuesday. The US Dollar retains its bullish tone and continues to undermine demand for the commodity. However, receding bets for an October Fed rate hike act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion and help limit further losses.

Ripple and Stellar weaken as derivatives positioning fades
Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) face pressure trading below $1.499 and $0.220, respectively, on Tuesday after a modest correction at the start of the week. Traders should be cautious as weakening derivatives metrics and fading bullish momentum suggest further corrections for XRP and XLM. Derivatives data shows a weakening and cautious signal among traders.
Europe in focus as French and Spanish politics drive sentiment

There are no tier-1 releases today. Focus will remain on developments in the European markets and geopolitical developments in the Middle East. In France, the key issue in the coming days will be whether the Socialists and Marine Le Pen's National Rally signal they are willing to topple the government over the budget.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.