USD/IDR: Rupiah strengthens despite Bank Indonesia’s rate cut


At its July monetary policy meeting on Thursday, Indonesia’s central bank, Bank Indonesia (BI), slashed its 7-day reverse repo rate by 25bps to 5.75%, as widely expected.

The latest Reuters poll showed that 23 of 33 analysts predicted BI will make a 25-basis point trim in the benchmark 7-day reverse repo rate to 5.75% - which would be the first cut since September 2017.

The central bank Governor noted that several central banks have pursued dovish monetary policies, including the Fed.

Additional Comments:

Q2 GDP growth seen at same pace with Q1.

2019 economic growth seen at below midpoint of 5.0-5.4% outlook.

Efforts to support domestic demand needed to mitigate falling exports.

To work with other authorities to lift economic growth.

2019 c/a deficit seen at 2.5%-3% of GDP, below 2018's.

Sees y/y inflation at end-2019 below midpoint of 2.5-4.5% target range.

To pursue accommodative macroprudential policy to support lending growth.

On the dovish decision by the Indonesian central bank, the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) strengthened against its American counterpart, pushing the USD/IDR cross to daily lows of 13,925 before recovering now to 13,950 levels.

USD/IDR Technical Levels

USD/IDR

Overview
Today last price 13950.0
Today Daily Change -20.2500
Today Daily Change % -0.15
Today daily open 13960.5
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 14097.58
Daily SMA50 14245.873
Daily SMA100 14215.122
Daily SMA200 14346.563
Levels
Previous Daily High 14012.5
Previous Daily Low 13930
Previous Weekly High 14240
Previous Weekly Low 13973
Previous Monthly High 14418
Previous Monthly Low 13746
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 13980.985
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 13961.515
Daily Pivot Point S1 13922.8333
Daily Pivot Point S2 13885.1667
Daily Pivot Point S3 13840.3333
Daily Pivot Point R1 14005.3333
Daily Pivot Point R2 14050.1667
Daily Pivot Point R3 14087.8333

 

 

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