|

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Inside key SMA envelope near $6.46, Fed Chair Powell eyed

  • USD/CNH remains indecisive between 100 and 200 SMAs.
  • Bearish MACD, failures to cross two-month-old falling trend line favor bears.
  • Heavy Fedspeak, Evergrande news awaited for fresh impulse.

USD/CNH fades bounce off weekly low around $6.4620 during early Friday.

In doing so, the offshore Chinese currency (CNH) pair remains trapped inside an envelope comprising 100 and 200-SMA. It’s worth noting that the bearish MACD and sustained trading below a descending resistance line from late July keep sellers hopeful.

However, markets wait for news from Evergrande and a slew of Fed speakers, including Chairman Jerome Powell, restricts the pair moves.

Given the brighter odds for the sellers, the pair’s one more attempt to refresh the monthly low of $6.4244 can’t be ruled out. However, the 100-SMA level of $6.4540 needs to be broken for that.

It’s worth noting that the USD/CNH bulls have multiple hurdles to cross, other than the 200-SMA level of $6.4665, making it harder to return.

To name a few resistances, 50% Fibonacci retracement of July-September downside, near $6.4770, follows the 200-SMA hurdle while preceding the stated resistance line figures of $6.4845. Additionally, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $6.4890 and the $6.4900 act as extra filters to the north.

USD/CNH: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.4622
Today Daily Change0.0002
Today Daily Change %0.00%
Today daily open6.462
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.4557
Daily SMA506.47
Daily SMA1006.4524
Daily SMA2006.4727
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.4748
Previous Daily Low6.4525
Previous Weekly High6.4738
Previous Weekly Low6.425
Previous Monthly High6.5102
Previous Monthly Low6.4473
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.461
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.4663
Daily Pivot Point S16.4515
Daily Pivot Point S26.4409
Daily Pivot Point S36.4293
Daily Pivot Point R16.4737
Daily Pivot Point R26.4853
Daily Pivot Point R36.4959

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.