|

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Finds resistance near 7.3600 within an overbought territory

  • USD/CNH may correct downwards as the 14-day RSI indicates an overbought condition.
  • The primary barrier appears at the 7.3600, followed by the rising wedge’s upper slope around the 7.4000 level.
  • The pair may test primary support at the nine-day EMA of 7.3346 level.

The USD/CNH pair halts its five-day winning streak, trading around 7.3570 during the Asian hours on Monday. A review of the daily chart suggests that the magnitude of price movement within the rising wedge pattern is decreasing, signaling a pause in the bullish trend.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI), a crucial momentum indicator, is positioned slightly above the 70 level, indicating an overbought condition and the possibility of a downward correction in the near term.

The USD/CNH pair could find primary resistance at the psychological level of 7.3600 level, followed by the upper slope of the rising wedge around the 7.4000 level. A break above the rising wedge could strengthen the bullish bias and support the pair to continue its rally toward the major level of 7.5000.

On the downside, the USD/CNH pair may initially test the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 7.3346 level, followed by the rising wedge’s lower slope around 7.3070, followed by the psychological level of 7.3000. A break below this level could weaken the bullish momentum and put downward pressure on the pair to approach the next psychological support round 7.2000 level.

USD/CNH: Daily Chart

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD eyes 100-SMA hurdle near 0.7035 as hawkish RBA counters firmer USD

AUD/USD regains positive traction on Tuesday and climbs to 0.7030 during the Asian session, reversing the previous day's corrective slide from a one-month high as hawkish RBA rate expectations continue to support the Aussie. Spot prices, however, remain below the 100-day SMA pivotal resistance amid a firmer US Dollar as traders brace for Australia’s September CPI report on Wednesday ahead of the Fed rate decision.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000 as traders brace for Fed interest rate decision

Gold edges higher during American trading hours on Tuesday after trading in negative territory earlier in the day. A slight decline in Oil prices offers some relief, although a firmer USD limits the upside as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP on edge as sell-side pressure intensifies

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting on Tuesday, led by Bitcoin (BTC) edging lower below the pivotal $80,000 level. Ethereum (ETH) mirrors Bitcoin’s neutral-to-bearish outlook, while Ripple (XRP) hovers around $1.30.

Experts agree: Fed policy outlook and geopolitical tensions keep US Dollar bid

The US Dollar Index rallies 0.6% in three days and hits fresh two-week highs above 102.00. Investors return to the US Dollar as markets brace for a hawkish hold by the Fed on Wednesday. Waning hopes of any immediate US-Iran peace deal have provided additional support to the safe-haven USD.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.