|

USD/CNH: Likely to trade between 7.2200 and 7.2800 – UOB Group

Despite no significant increase in downward momentum, there is room for the US Dollar (USD) to edge lower to 7.2380. In the longer run, momentum has largely faded; USD is likely to trade between 7.2200 and 7.2800 for the time being, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

USD to edge lower to 7.2380

24-HOUR VIEW: “Two days ago, USD rose to 7.2730, then pulled back. Yesterday, we highlighted that ‘Upward pressure appears to have eased with the pullback.’ We added, ‘instead of continuing to advance, USD is more likely to trade in a sideways range of 7.2450/7.2660.’ USD then rose to 7.2695, dropped to 7.2425 before closing at 7.2479, lower by 0.15%. Despite no significant increase in downward momentum, there is room for USD to edge lower to 7.2380 before a rebound is likely. The major support at 7.2200 is unlikely to be tested. Resistance is at 7.2590, followed by 7.2660.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Two days ago (26 Nov, spot at 7.2630), we noted that ‘momentum is building again.’ We added, ‘USD could break above 7.2800, but it is too early to determine if 7.3115 is within reach.’ Since then, USD has not been able to make much headway on the upside. The buildup in momentum has largely faded. The current price action is likely part of a consolidation range, and we expect USD to trade between 7.2200 and 7.2800 for the time being. Looking ahead, USD has to break clearly above 7.2800 before a sustained advance is likely.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates gains above 0.700; focus on CPI data

AUD/USD has regained composure on Tuesday, reversing the previous day’s pullback and further extending its move past the key 0.7000 yardstick. The pair’s recovery has come despite another solid day for the Greenback ahead of the FOMC gathering. Moving forward, the release of inflation figures will be the main focus in Oz on Wednesday.

USD/JPY sticks to modest gains above 157.50 as traders await Fed, BoJ meetings

USD/JPY attracts buyers for the third straight day, recovering further from a one-month low ahead of Wednesday’s FOMC decision and the BoJ policy update on Friday. Meanwhile, expectations that the BoJ may hold off on aggressive rate hikes weigh on the Japanese Yen, and the US Dollar advances to a nearly two-week high, supporting the currency pair.

Gold holds above $4,000 as traders brace for Fed interest rate decision

Gold edges higher during American trading hours on Tuesday after trading in negative territory earlier in the day. A slight decline in Oil prices offers some relief, although a firmer USD limits the upside as traders await the Fed’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.

Australia CPI set to climb in September, fueling RBA rate-hike bets

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) will publish the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday at 00:30 GMT. The report is expected to show that inflation rose 4.2% from a year earlier, higher than the 4% posted in  August. The monthly CPI is forecast at 0.7% following the 0.4% print from the previous month.

What can we expect from the RBNZ monetary policy decision?

On Wednesday, October 28 at 01:00 GMT, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, led by Governor Anna Breman, is expected to raise the Overnight Cash Rate by 25 basis points, from 2.75% to 3%, as money markets price in a 100% chance. This would be the third-rate hike by the RBNZ, while the odds for another hike in December are nearly 50%.

Anthropic pledged $270 billion to Amazon, Google, and Microsoft. Here's who actually gets paid
Anthropic owes Amazon, Google, and Microsoft at least $269.4 billion for computing power, even if it uses less. All three sell its models and handle its billing, and Amazon and Google own stakes and lend it money, so they get paid regardless of how the IPO goes. The Dario Amodei-led Anthropic filed its initial public offering (IPO) on Monday, seeking a listing on the Nasdaq under the ticker ANT.