|

USD/CNH holds above 6.8 after bullish outside-day

  • The yuan offshore exchange rate remains on the defensive after the weaker PBOC fix.
  • The USD/CNH pair is holding above 6.80, having created a bullish outside-day continuation pattern yesterday.

The USD/CNH pair (offshore yuan exchange rate) rose to 6.8306 earlier today and was last seen trading largely unchanged around 6.8227.

The offshore exchange rate came under pressure in early trading as the People's Bank of China raised the CNY daily fix to 6.7942 from the previous day's three-week low of 6.7662.

Further, the bullish outside-day candle (bullish continuation pattern) created on Thursday also called for a further depreciation in the CNH, however, overbought conditions are likely capping the rise in the USD/CNH pair.

Should the pair deflate from here, the AUD and other Aussie proxies, Asian currencies and commodities could witness a relief rally.

USD/CNH Technical Levels

Resistance: 6.8360 (previous week's high), 6.8443 (weekly high), 6.859 (June 2017 high).

Support: 6.7736 (10-day MA), 6.738 (previous day's low), 6.7329 (July 3 high).

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.