|

USD/CNH holds above 6.8 after bullish outside-day

  • The yuan offshore exchange rate remains on the defensive after the weaker PBOC fix.
  • The USD/CNH pair is holding above 6.80, having created a bullish outside-day continuation pattern yesterday.

The USD/CNH pair (offshore yuan exchange rate) rose to 6.8306 earlier today and was last seen trading largely unchanged around 6.8227.

The offshore exchange rate came under pressure in early trading as the People's Bank of China raised the CNY daily fix to 6.7942 from the previous day's three-week low of 6.7662.

Further, the bullish outside-day candle (bullish continuation pattern) created on Thursday also called for a further depreciation in the CNH, however, overbought conditions are likely capping the rise in the USD/CNH pair.

Should the pair deflate from here, the AUD and other Aussie proxies, Asian currencies and commodities could witness a relief rally.

USD/CNH Technical Levels

Resistance: 6.8360 (previous week's high), 6.8443 (weekly high), 6.859 (June 2017 high).

Support: 6.7736 (10-day MA), 6.738 (previous day's low), 6.7329 (July 3 high).

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD edges lower due to safe-haven demand

GBP/USD inches lower after opening at a bullish gap, trading around 1.3200 during the Asian hours on Monday. The pair loses ground as the Pound Sterling declines against the US Dollar amid emerging safe-haven demand, which could be attributed to the United States-Iran talks uncertainty.

EUR/USD remains stronger despite uncertainty surrounding US-Iran talks

EUR/USD pair maintains its upward momentum for a third consecutive session, trading near 1.1390 during Monday's Asian hours. Despite this positive streak, the Euro’s gains could face headwinds if geopolitical uncertainty sparks a flight to safety, boosting the US Dollar.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Week ahead: NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed
The end of the Middle East conflict and the steps made so far towards securing a comprehensive deal over the next five weeks – with oil prices dropping aggressively but maintaining a small risk premium – has allowed investors to focus elsewhere. Contrary to expectations, the greenback has been the main protagonist lately.
Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.