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USD/CHF side-ways trade comfortably above the 100-day SMA

  • USD/CHF continues to consolidate above the 100-day SMA trading neutral at 0.8910.
  • Markets turned cautious ahead of the inflation readings from August from the US.
  • Risk aversion is strengthening the USD.

On Tuesday’s sessions, the USD/CHF tallied mild gains and traded near 0.8910. The USD is recovering ground after two consecutive days of trading weak against most of its rivals, while US yields are trading mixed in anticipation of Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) from August. On the CHF’s side, the Swiss calendar had nothing relevant to offer in the session.

In that sense, the August CPI is expected to show a 0.5% increase MoM, while the Core measure is forecasted to rise by 0.2% on a monthly basis, and those inflation figures will play a big role in the model of expectations of the next Federal Reserve (Fed) decisions. 

Meanwhile, according to the CME FedWatch tool, the market still believes that the Fed will take a break at the September 20 meeting. However, investors anticipate a 40% chance that the Fed might opt for one last interest rate hike in either November or December, which would lift rates to 5.75%.

USD/CHF Levels to watch 

 The daily chart analysis shows that the short-term outlook for USD/CHF appears bullish. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) maintain positive positions, with the RSI above its midline and displaying an upward trend, while the MACD exhibits green bars. On the other hand, the pair is above the 20 and 100-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) but below the 200-day SMA, suggesting that the bulls are in command over the bears on the bigger picture.

Support levels: 0.8900, 0.8877 (100-day SMA), 0.8850.
 Resistance levels: 0.8950, 0.9000, 0.9030.


USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8919
Today Daily Change0.0010
Today Daily Change %0.11
Today daily open0.8909
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8838
Daily SMA500.8776
Daily SMA1000.8879
Daily SMA2000.9051
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.893
Previous Daily Low0.8897
Previous Weekly High0.8945
Previous Weekly Low0.8833
Previous Monthly High0.8876
Previous Monthly Low0.869
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.891
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8917
Daily Pivot Point S10.8894
Daily Pivot Point S20.8879
Daily Pivot Point S30.8861
Daily Pivot Point R10.8927
Daily Pivot Point R20.8945
Daily Pivot Point R30.8959

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

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