|

USD/CHF Price Prediction: Breaks above 200-day SMA and continues higher

  • USD/CHF extends its established bull trend higher. 
  • The RSI momentum indicator is flashing overbought suggesting increased risk of a pullback. 

USD/CHF breaks above the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and extends its short and medium-term uptrend. 

USD/CHF Daily Chart 

Given the technical analysis theory that “the trend is your friend” the odds favor more upside. 

However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) momentum indicator is overbought which advises long holders not to add to their long positions because of the increased risk of a pullback. If a pullback does evolve it will provide a good opportunity to buy at a lower price and catch the uptrend before it resumes. Any correction is likely to find solid support at the 200-day SMA at around 0.8825-30. 

The pair has surpassed the target at 0.8873 (July 30 swing high) and is on its way to the next target at 0.9050 (July 2 swing high). Another possible target is 0.9000 due to its significance as a round-number and psychological level.  

Author

Joaquin Monfort

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

More from Joaquin Monfort
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.