|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Recoups from Thursday’s losses, edges toward 0.9870

  • USD/CHF prepares to finish the week with decent gains of 0.65%.
  • The weekly chart depicts the pair as neutral-to-upward biased, further extending the uptrend but unable to crack 0.9900.
  • The USD/CHF daily chart portrays the major as upward biased, and once it clears the 0.9886 mares, the 0.9900 figure would be next.

The USD/CHF finished the week with substantial gains on Friday, up by 1.20%  in the day, due to Federal Reserve officials crossing newswires, reiterating that the Fed would not pivot in the near term and will keep rates elevated to temper inflation. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9870.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF weekly chart shows the majors closing just below the July 11 week high of 0.9886, keeping the neutral-to-upward bias unchanged. Traders should be aware that, albeit closing below the aforementioned July 11 high, the USD/CHF extended the successive series of higher highs/lows, opening the door for further gains. If the USD/CHF clears 0.9886, the 0.9900 figure is the next supply zone, followed by the parity.

When reviewing the USD/CHF daily chart, the bias is also upward biased, and price action escalating above the “neckline” of an inverted head-and-shoulders chart pattern could pave the way for further gains. Oscillators are in positive territory, with the RSi at 60.79 about to cross above its 7-day RSI SMA, which would mean that buyers are gathering momentum, opening the door for further gains.

Therefore, the USD/CHF first resistance would be the 0.9900 figure. Break above will expose the September 28 high at 0.9965, followed by parity, and then the YTD high at 1.0064.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.987
Today Daily Change0.0114
Today Daily Change %1.17
Today daily open0.9756
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9723
Daily SMA500.9642
Daily SMA1000.9681
Daily SMA2000.9509
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9856
Previous Daily Low0.9753
Previous Weekly High0.9851
Previous Weekly Low0.962
Previous Monthly High0.9808
Previous Monthly Low0.9371
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9792
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9817
Daily Pivot Point S10.972
Daily Pivot Point S20.9685
Daily Pivot Point S30.9617
Daily Pivot Point R10.9824
Daily Pivot Point R20.9892
Daily Pivot Point R30.9927

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains below 0.7000 as focus shifts to FOMC Minutes

AUD/USD struggles to capitalize on its three-day-old recovery move from 0.6900, or a three-month low, and trades with a negative bias during Wednesday's Asian session. Amid geopolitical uncertainty, the US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers after a fresh leg up in US bond yields, keeping the currency pair below 0.7000. However, RBA rate-hike bets support the Aussie as USD bulls await FOMC Minutes.

USD/JPY eyes 200-SMA breakout above 158.50 ahead of FOMC Minutes

USD/JPY climbs to a one-and-a-half-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday, with bulls now awaiting a move beyond the 200-day SMA hurdle near mid-158.00s before positioning for further gains ahead of FOMC Minutes. Meanwhile, a fresh leg up in US bond yields revives US Dollar demand amid geopolitical uncertainties. Moreover, concerns about Japan's fiscal policy weigh on the Japanese Yen, supporting the pair.

Gold extends range play; holds above $4,150 ahead of FOMC Minutes

Gold edges lower during the Asian session on Wednesday, stalling the previous day's goodish bounce from the $4,100 neighborhood, or a two-month low. The safe-haven US Dollar attracts some dip-buyers following this week’s pullback from the YTD high amid geopolitical uncertainties. This, along with a fresh leg up in US bond yields, caps non-yielding bullion, which remains confined within a one-week-old range ahead of FOMC Minutes.

ZEC expands institutional momentum as Winklevoss files for Zcash ETF
Winklevoss Asset Services, co-owned by crypto exchange Gemini founders Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss, filed a Form S-1 registration statement with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Tuesday for the Winklevoss Zcash (ZEC) ETF. The filing proposes a fund that would hold ZEC and seek to track its price.
RBI looks set to step up Repo Rate by 25 bps to 5.5%

The Reserve Bank of India is set to announce its bi-monthly monetary policy decision on Wednesday at 10:00 AM IST, in a meeting where the central bank is expected to initiate an interest rate hike cycle after maintaining a status-quo so far this calendar year. According to the market consensus, the RBI will hike its key Repo Rate by 25 basis points to 5.5% from 5.25%.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.