|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Drops below 0.9300 ahead of FOMC minutes

  • USD/CHF failed to crack above 0.9400, exacerbating a fall beneath 0.9300.
  • US Dollar weakness and the confluence of technical levels around 0.9370s stalled the USD/CHF rally.
  • A daily close above 0.9250 could lift the USD/CHF back again, towards 0.9300.

The USD/CHF struggles to clear the 0.9370 barrier, dives below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), and the 0.9300 figure as the US Dollar (USD) weakens. The USD/CHF is trading at 0.9279, below its opening price by 0.80%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

After reaching a weekly high at around 0.9398 on Wednesday, the USD/CHF shifted gears and snapped three days of gains. The USD/CHF dived below the 20-day EMA, which sits at 0.9317, extending its fall toward its daily lows of 0.9253, but solid support around the latter spurred a slight jump to the current exchange rates.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) failed to crack its midline and remained at bearish territory, exacerbating today’s fall. The Rate of Change (RoC) flashes sellers gathering some momentum. However, the top trendline of a falling wedge, a bullish chart pattern that emerged in the USD/CHF daily chart, stalled the drop. Therefore, the USD/CHF might remain range-bound.

The USD/CHF key support levels would be the 0.9250 figure, followed by the 0.9200 mark. As an alternate scenario, the USD/CHF first resistance would be 0.9300, followed by the weekly high of 0.9398, ahead of the 0.9400 mark.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9271
Today Daily Change-0.0089
Today Daily Change %-0.95
Today daily open0.936
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9306
Daily SMA500.951
Daily SMA1000.9651
Daily SMA2000.9644
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9399
Previous Daily Low0.923
Previous Weekly High0.9338
Previous Weekly Low0.9201
Previous Monthly High0.9471
Previous Monthly Low0.9201
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9334
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9294
Daily Pivot Point S10.926
Daily Pivot Point S20.9161
Daily Pivot Point S30.9092
Daily Pivot Point R10.9429
Daily Pivot Point R20.9498
Daily Pivot Point R30.9597

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to neutral bias above 0.7100 amid cautious markets

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Monday as the US Dollar stalls its modest pullback from the highest level since late July amid persistent geopolitical uncertainties. The PBOC status quo on Loan Prime Rates also weighs on the Aussie. However, bets on another RBA rate hike continue to underpin the Australian Dollar ahead of the Trump-Xi Summit.

USD/JPY eases below 157.00 amid looming intervention risks

USD/JPY is easing back below 157.00 in Asia on Monday, undermined by modest Japanese Yen strength amid looming intervention risks after Friday's BoJ rate check. A Japanese holiday also keeps traders on edge amid escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East. As a result, the US Dollar pauses its pullback, limiting the pair's downside.

Gold meets resistance around $4,400

Gold kicks in the new trading with on the back foot, keeping its trade near $4,350 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s correction comes on the back of the firmer US Dollar and espite declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Bitcoin hits $85,000 for the first time in eight months
Bitcoin price reclaims $85,000 on Monday, advancing last week’s 5% recovery toward an eight-month high. The recovery in King Crypto aligns with renewed institutional demand, with Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording $433 million in inflows on Friday.
The week ahead: Fuel prices in focus as we lead up to key eco releases

Financial markets are in a strange position as we move to the final weeks of Q3, uncertainty and volatility continue to grip markets, but the oil price is falling; and European and US stocks are poised to open higher later on Monday. Market stresses are concentrated in sovereign bonds, and European and US yields had another scare late on Friday, and moved higher.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.