|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Double top in the hourly chart opens the door towards 0.9280

  • The USD/CHF erases Monday losses courtesy of market sentiment improvement and a softer USD.
  • Falling US Treasury yields undermine the greenback, as the DXY falls below the 99.00 mark.
  • USD/CHF Price Forecast: Upward biased in the daily chart, but a double top in the hourly chart, suggest a correction towards 0.9280.

The USD/CHF erases Monday’s gains amid an improved market mood courtesy of advancement in peace talks in Eastern Europe and a softer US dollar, underpinned by falling US Treasury yields. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9304.

Reflection of the greenback’s weakness is portrayed by the US Dollar Index, falling almost 1%, sitting at 98.246. US Treasury yields eased from highs, a headwind for the USD/CHF.

The USD/CHF remained buoyant overnight in the Asian and early European session and reached a daily high at 0.9373. But headlines that Russia-Ukraine negotiations progressed, and the possibility of a Putin – Zelenskiy reunion, improved the market mood; thus, traders rushed out from US dollars which lifted the prospects of the Swiss franc, dragging the pair towards lows of 0.9310s.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The daily chart depicts the USD/CHF as upward biased, but Tuesday’s price action threatens to engulf the previous bullish candle, which could lead to further losses.

Meanwhile, the USD/CHF 1-hour chart depicts the formation of a double top near the 0.9373 area, double-tested on Monday and Tuesday, which pushed the USD/CHF below the double-top neckline, which is located at 0.9326, exposing the 0.9300

That said, the USD/CHF first support would be 0.9300. Breach of the latter would expose the double-top measured target at 0.9280.

Hourly chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9304
Today Daily Change-0.0036
Today Daily Change %-0.39
Today daily open0.9339
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.93
Daily SMA500.9252
Daily SMA1000.9233
Daily SMA2000.9212
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9382
Previous Daily Low0.9293
Previous Weekly High0.9376
Previous Weekly Low0.926
Previous Monthly High0.9297
Previous Monthly Low0.915
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9348
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9327
Daily Pivot Point S10.9294
Daily Pivot Point S20.9249
Daily Pivot Point S30.9206
Daily Pivot Point R10.9383
Daily Pivot Point R20.9427
Daily Pivot Point R30.9472

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY stays below 160.50 as markets assess BoJ decision

USD/JPY fluctuates in a relatively narrow range above 160.00 on Tuesday as markets assess the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) decision to raise the policy rate by 25 at the June meeting. Meanwhile, investors keep a close eye on news coming out of the Middle East, while preparing for the critical Fed meeting.

AUD/USD trades in tight channel near 0.7050 despite hawkish RBA message

AUD/USD trades modestly lower on the day at around 0.7050 on Tuesday as markets adopt a cautious stance amid a lack of details surrounding the US-Iran peace agreement. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left the door open for possible policy tightening after leaving the interest rate unchanged, as expected, at the June meeting but failed to boost the Australian Dollar.

Gold: Recovery remains capped by $4,400 for now

Gold continues to trade with a constructive tone and flirts with the $4,350 zone per troy ounce on Tuesday. The early enthusiasm sparked by the US-Iran peace deal has faded somewhat, prompting investors to adopt a more prudent stance as they await further details of the agreement and key guidance from the Fed.

Solana's rebound gains momentum as ETF inflows return

Solana (SOL) steadies at $73 after posting three consecutive green candlesticks since the weekend. The recent recovery is supported by institutional demand, with spot Exchange Traded Funds recording net inflows of $2.81 million on Monday.

BoJ just hiked and US-Iran deal is on the table: Why Japanese Yen is still around 160.00

The Bank of Japan lifted interest rates from 0.75% to 1.00%, its highest level in more than three decades. The landmark move aims to stabilize a sharply weakening Japanese Yen, but by looking at the immediate market reaction, it doesn’t look like it’s going to work.

Why a hawkish RBA is no longer enough to lift the Australian Dollar

The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered more than what markets expected: a hawkish hold that should have supported the Aussie. But markets widely ignored it, focusing instead on slowing economic growth and proving that central bank messaging alone isn’t always enough to drive currencies.