|

Swiss Franc surges against US Dollar amid risk aversion, Fed policy concerns

  • The US Dollar drops sharply against the Swiss Franc amid a risk-averse market environment.
  • The Swiss Franc benefits from its safe-haven status, reinforced by Goldman Sachs’ assessment.
  • Investors remain cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision and key US data.

USD/CHF trades around 0.7760 on Monday at the time of writing, down 0.70% on the day and marking its lowest level since September 2011. The pair remains under heavy pressure as the US Dollar (USD) weakens on intervention rumors in foreign exchange markets and growing concerns over the independence of US monetary policy.

The Greenback is under pressure following reports that the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York conducted a so-called rate check with major banks, requesting indicative exchange rates on the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen (JPY). According to Bloomberg and Reuters, such actions are often interpreted by markets as a preparatory signal for a potential intervention. This prompted investors to cut long US Dollar positions. Fears of coordinated action between the United States (US) and Japan to support the Japanese Yen are fueling caution across markets and weighing on the US Dollar against major currencies, including the Swiss Franc (CHF).

At the same time, the Swiss Franc finds structural support after Goldman Sachs said it remains the best-positioned global FX hedge against central bank subordination risks. The bank noted that, beyond its traditional safe-haven role, the Swiss currency stands out for its resilience to global inflation pressures. Goldman Sachs also highlighted Switzerland’s strong fiscal fundamentals, which enhance the CHF’s safe-haven appeal and help limit cross-market spillovers during episodes of fiscal stress.

The US Dollar is also suffering from expectations that the White House could announce the name of the next Federal Reserve Chair as early as this week, replacing Jerome Powell. US President Donald Trump recently reiterated that the announcement would be made in January. Names circulating among potential candidates include Kevin Hassett, Rick Rieder, Christopher Waller, Michelle Bowman and Kevin Warsh. Investors fear that a nominee perceived as close to the Trump administration could undermine the independence of the Fed, further denting confidence in the US Dollar.

This week, market attention also turns to the Fed’s monetary policy decision scheduled for Wednesday. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the central bank is expected to leave interest rates unchanged in the 3.50%-3.75% range, following three consecutive rate cuts totaling 75 basis points in 2025, justified by rising risks in the labor market. Early in the week, investors will also monitor the release of US Durable Goods Orders for November, duu later in the day, which could influence near-term US Dollar dynamics in an already highly volatile environment.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.32%-0.24%-1.43%-0.14%-0.42%-0.42%-0.61%
EUR0.32%0.07%-1.13%0.18%-0.11%-0.10%-0.30%
GBP0.24%-0.07%-1.20%0.10%-0.18%-0.17%-0.37%
JPY1.43%1.13%1.20%1.31%1.01%1.03%0.83%
CAD0.14%-0.18%-0.10%-1.31%-0.29%-0.28%-0.47%
AUD0.42%0.11%0.18%-1.01%0.29%0.00%-0.18%
NZD0.42%0.10%0.17%-1.03%0.28%-0.00%-0.19%
CHF0.61%0.30%0.37%-0.83%0.47%0.18%0.19%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD remains well bid near 1.1850

Further weakness in the Greenback motivates EUR/USD to extend last week’s rally and advance to fresh yearly highs just pips away from 1.1900 the figure in quite an auspicious start to the new trading week. Earlier on Monday, Germany’s Business Climate held steady at 87.6 in January according to IFO.

GBP/USD climbs to four-month highs around 1.3680

GBP/USD builds on recent gains and extends ots intense march north to four-month tops near 1.3680 on Monday, a move that mirrors the generalised improvement in the risk complex on the back of persistent selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

Gold hits record highs past $5,100

Gold extends its impresive rally for yet another day on Monday, this time surpassing the $5,100 mark per troy ounce to hit all-time highs on the continuation of the Greenback’s retracement. The move higher in the precious metal is also uncerpinned by unabated geopolitical jitters while rising US Treasury yields seem to limit the upside somewhat.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple see slight recovery after recent corrections

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple prices recovered slightly at the time of writing on Monday after correcting by over 7%, 14%, and 7%, respectively. The top three cryptocurrencies are nearing key support levels, and if they hold, could consolidate or extend their recovery in the upcoming days.

Tariffs, rate decisions, and inflation: Your week ahead brief

Well, what a week it has been. And that is putting it mildly. Fortunately, for those of us nursing their geopolitical-induced headaches, this week offers a chance to refocus on central bank decisions, inflation figures, and corporate earnings.

Cardano Price Forecast: ADA downside risks intensify, opening the door to $0.27

Cardano (ADA) price hovers around $0.34 at the time of writing on Monday, after three consecutive weeks of correction since early January. The falling Open Interest (OI) further supports the ongoing correction signaling waning investor participation.