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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Buyers step in and lift the pair on sellers failure at the double top neckline

  • The USD/CHF to finish the week with decent gains of 0.39%.
  • Risk-aversion dominates Friday’s session, as throughout the whole week.
  • The USD/CHF double top in the daily chart is still in play, but failure at 0.9544, paves the way for further gains as buyers eye 0.9700.
  • In the near term, the major is upward biased, eyeing the 100-DMA.

The USD/CHF accelerates and reclaims the 0.9600 figure after harmful US economic data, showing that the economy, although expanding, is doing it at a slower pace than estimated amidst a US Federal Reserve tightening cycle. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF is trading at 0.9624.

US equities are falling, preparing to finish the week with substantial losses. Meanwhile, US Treasury yields have recovered some ground, while the greenback remains in the driver’s seat, as shown by the US Dollar index, up 0.58%, at 105.340.

USD/CHF Daily chart

The USD/CHF regained some composture and is trading near the week highs around 0.9641. USD/CHF traders should note that sellers failed to break below the 100-day moving average (DMA) at 0.9518, exposing the pair to additional buying pressure. Also, the Relative Strenght Index (RSI) at 46 aimed upward and broke above the RSI’s 7-day moving average, meaning that buying pressure is mounting.

Therefore, the USD/CHF first resistance would be 0.9641. Break above would expose the 0.9700 mark, followed by the 50-DMA at 0.9732.

USD/CHF 1-Hour chart

In the 1-hour chart, the USD/CHF found its floor around 0.9500 on June 29, and since then, it has not looked back, achieving successive series of higher lows and higher highs, paving the way for further gains. It is worth noting that the major on its way north broke above the simple moving averages (SMAs), further cementing the case of recovery to the upside.

Hence, the USD/CHF first resistance will be the R2 daily pivot at 0.9640. A breach of the latter would expose the June 23 high at 0.9678, followed by the 0.9700 figure.

USD/CHF Key Technical Levels

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9619
Today Daily Change0.0072
Today Daily Change %0.75
Today daily open0.9547
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9711
Daily SMA500.9736
Daily SMA1000.9519
Daily SMA2000.9368
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9605
Previous Daily Low0.953
Previous Weekly High0.9713
Previous Weekly Low0.9522
Previous Monthly High1.005
Previous Monthly Low0.9495
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9559
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9576
Daily Pivot Point S10.9516
Daily Pivot Point S20.9485
Daily Pivot Point S30.9441
Daily Pivot Point R10.9592
Daily Pivot Point R20.9636
Daily Pivot Point R30.9667

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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