|

USD/CHF hovers above 0.9000, focus on US CPI, Swiss Producer and Import Prices

  • USD/CHF continues the losing streak on the Fed’s interest rate trajectory.
  • US Dollar extends losses despite robust wholesale inflation data.
  • US CPI suggests a decrease in the annual rate for September.
  • Swiss Franc might receive buying support on the Middle-East conflict.

USD/CHF continues to move on the downward trajectory that began last week, trading lower around 0.9010 during the Asian session on Thursday. The pair trades near the three-week lows. Despite robust economic data from the United States (US), the US Dollar (USD) is facing challenges due to the possibility of the Federal Reserve (Fed) ending the rate-hike cycle.

Moreover, the divergence in perspectives is revealed in the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes. The Fed minutes emphasized the significance of relying on data. There was a suggestion that achieving a substantial increase in inflation would be crucial to garnering consensus for shaping monetary policy decisions.

US Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced a rise in September, jumping from 2.0% to 2.2%, surpassing the expected 1.6%. Attention in the market now turns to Thursday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, with forecasts indicating a potential decrease in the annual rate from 3.7% to 3.6%. Keep an eye out for the upcoming weekly Jobless Claims report as well.

Amidst dovish comments and neutral stances from officials, investors seem to speculate the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to abandoning the idea of a rate hike. Fed Governor Christopher Waller advocates a cautious stance on rate developments, suggesting that tightening in financial markets "would do some of the work for us."

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman leans towards another rate hike, citing persistent inflation above the Fed's 2% target. These divergent views within the Federal Reserve add layers of complexity to the current economic landscape.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is facing challenges, trading lower around 105.70 at the time of writing. This struggle is attributed to the subdued performance of US Treasury yields, with the 10-year Treasury bond yield standing at 4.57% by the latest update.

On the flip side, the Swiss Franc seems to receive buying support due to the Middle-East military conflict as the currency is considered to be the safe haven in times of geopolitical uncertainty.

Switzerland’s Producer and Import Prices will be eyed on Friday, which could provide fresh impetus to the inflation outlook in the nation.

USD/CHF: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9003
Today Daily Change-0.0017
Today Daily Change %-0.19
Today daily open0.902
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9084
Daily SMA500.8927
Daily SMA1000.8907
Daily SMA2000.9024
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9055
Previous Daily Low0.9002
Previous Weekly High0.9244
Previous Weekly Low0.9073
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9022
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9035
Daily Pivot Point S10.8996
Daily Pivot Point S20.8973
Daily Pivot Point S30.8944
Daily Pivot Point R10.9049
Daily Pivot Point R20.9078
Daily Pivot Point R30.9102

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.