|

USD/CHF holds steady as US Dollar stabilizes following Senate funding bill progress

  • USD/CHF trades sideways around 0.8060 as the US Dollar steadies following progress on the funding bill in the Senate.
  • Markets expect another Federal Reserve rate cut in December, with odds near 63%.
  • The Swiss National Bank is likely to keep rates positive as inflation is expected to rise slightly.

USD/CHF holds near 0.8060 on Monday at the time of writing, up 0.10% on the day, as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes after the United States (US) Senate approved a measure to extend federal funding through January. This political progress helps ease fears of another potential government shutdown.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s performance against a basket of six major currencies, consolidates around 99.60. The agreement between eight Democratic senators and their Republican counterparts would prevent the closure of several federal agencies and unlock the release of key economic data, such as the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report and the Consumer Price Index (CPI). These figures will be critical for shaping expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook.

According to the CME FedWatch tool, markets assign a 63% chance to another Fed rate cut at the December meeting. Several Fed officials delivered cautious remarks on Monday. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem said the US economy remains “resilient” but noted that inflation is still close to 3%, limiting room for further policy easing. Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly stated that policymakers should “keep an open mind” about additional rate cuts, pointing out that productivity gains and slower wage growth are helping sustain a soft landing.

In Switzerland, the Swiss Franc (CHF) remains broadly firm against most peers, supported by recent comments from Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel, who ruled out a return to negative interest rates. Schlegel said inflation should “rise slightly in the coming quarters”, justifying keeping rates on hold for an extended period.

Against this backdrop, USD/CHF continues to trade without a clear direction, awaiting fresh macroeconomic signals regarding the US monetary policy path and Swiss inflation trends.

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.14%0.10%0.45%-0.02%-0.31%0.06%0.21%
EUR-0.14%-0.03%0.32%-0.16%-0.45%-0.07%0.07%
GBP-0.10%0.03%0.36%-0.13%-0.41%-0.05%0.10%
JPY-0.45%-0.32%-0.36%-0.45%-0.75%-0.38%-0.23%
CAD0.02%0.16%0.13%0.45%-0.30%0.07%0.23%
AUD0.31%0.45%0.41%0.75%0.30%0.37%0.52%
NZD-0.06%0.07%0.05%0.38%-0.07%-0.37%0.15%
CHF-0.21%-0.07%-0.10%0.23%-0.23%-0.52%-0.15%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Author

Ghiles Guezout

Ghiles Guezout is a Market Analyst with a strong background in stock market investments, trading, and cryptocurrencies. He combines fundamental and technical analysis skills to identify market opportunities.

More from Ghiles Guezout
Share:

Editor's Picks

USD/JPY eyes August swing low, near 155.20 ahead of US NFP

USD/JPY retests the August monthly swing low during the Asian session on Friday as a more hawkish repricing of BoJ rate-hike bets and a suspected intervention continue to underpin the Japanese Yen. Meanwhile, the US Dollar is seen consolidating the previous day's heavy losses amid soft US bond yields, further weighing on the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report.

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200; US NFP awaited

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7200, near its highest level since mid-May, as bulls await the US NFP report for more cues on the Fed's policy path before placing fresh bets. Meanwhile, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near its lowest level in over a week and acts as a tailwind for the Aussie amid the RBA's hawkish tilt.

Gold tumbles as blockbuster US NFP lift US Dollar, Treasury yields

Gold (XAU/USD) falls sharply on Friday, snapping a two-day recovery after the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report surprised strongly to the upside. The metal briefly climbed above $4,500 on Thursday, gaining nearly 2%, but has since erased a large part of that advance.

Crypto’s $638 million buyback boom may not be as bullish as it looks
Decentralized Finance (DeFi) protocols reportedly spent $638 million to buy back their native tokens in August, up 17% from a year earlier. On the surface, the buyback trend suggests the cryptocurrency industry is maturing fast, adopting one of Wall Street’s oldest tools to bolster valuations and distribute revenue. The headline becomes less impressive once the number is opened up.
Why hawkish Bank of Japan expectations aren't enough to sustain the Japanese Yen rally

The Japanese Yen (JPY) experienced a sudden burst higher after falling back below the 160.00 psychological mark against the US Dollar (USD) earlier this week amid a more hawkish repricing of Bank of Japan (BoJ) rate hike expectations.

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.