|

USD/CHF continues consolidating, loses the 20-day SMA

  • USD/CHF declined towards 0.9040,  consolidating below the 20-day SMA.
  • Federal Reserve officials will be on the wires later in the session.
  • FOMC minutes on Wednesday and CPI figures from September from the US the next week highlights.

The USD/CHF declined near the 0.9040 level and tallied its fifth straight day of losses. For the US Dollar, the economic calendar will remain empty on Tuesday. The only highlights are Christopher Waller and Neel Kashkari from the Federal Reserve (Fed) speaking later in the session. As Lorie Logan stated yesterday, tighter financial conditions may put less pressure on the Fed to continue hiking; both speakers could generate volatility in the bond markets if they provide clues on forward guidance and affect the US Dollar price dynamics. Likewise, no relevant reports or data will be released on the Swiss economic calendar.

In the meantime, the focus is set on Wednesday’s Federal Open Market (FOMC) minutes from the September meeting, where investors will look for further clues on the Fed official's stance. In addition, the US September inflation figures are due on Thursday, which are expected to see the headline and core Consumer Price Index (CPI) decelerating. Furthermore, traders should monitor the conflict in Israel as growing tensions could benefit the US Dollar as a safe haven.

USD/CHF Levels to watch 

The daily chart analysis indicates a bearish outlook for the USD/CHF in the short term. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is below its midline in negative territory, with a negative slope, aligning with the negative signal from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), which displays red bars, reinforcing the strong bearish sentiment. Additionally, the pair is below the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), but above the 100 and 200-day SMAs, suggesting that the bulls are in command over the bears on the bigger picture.

Support levels: 0.9050, 0.9030, 0.9000.

 Resistance levels: 0.9073 (20-day SMA), 0.9150, 0.9170.
 

USD/CHF Daily Chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.904
Today Daily Change-0.0026
Today Daily Change %-0.29
Today daily open0.9066
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9074
Daily SMA500.8916
Daily SMA1000.8907
Daily SMA2000.9027
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9124
Previous Daily Low0.905
Previous Weekly High0.9244
Previous Weekly Low0.9073
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9078
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9095
Daily Pivot Point S10.9036
Daily Pivot Point S20.9006
Daily Pivot Point S30.8962
Daily Pivot Point R10.911
Daily Pivot Point R20.9154
Daily Pivot Point R30.9184


 

Author

Patricio Martín

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

More from Patricio Martín
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD clings to daily gains near 1.3350

GBP/USD holds just in positive territory around 1.3350 on Friday as the Greenback keeps a vacillating price action. With Fed rate hike expectations easing and US markets closed for the Independence Day holiday, Cable remains on track to post solid weekly gains.

EUR/USD remains sidelined around 1.1440

EUR/USD holds on to its recent gains and consolidates around 1.1440 at the end of the week as the US Dollar lacks clear direction. In the meantime, trading conditions remain subdued, with volatility constrained by the closure of US markets for the Independence Day holiday.

Gold flirts with two-week highs, targets $4,200

Gold extends its recovery for a third straight day, advancing toward the $4,200 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal looks set to snap a four-week losing streak as softer-than-expected June US NFP data prompt investors to scale back expectations of further Fed tightening.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP advance amid renewed capital inflows

Bitcoin maintains its upward momentum, holding above the $61,000 mark at the time of writing on Friday. Major altcoins such as Ethereum and Ripple are also posting gains, signaling a modest uptick in market sentiment and renewed risk appetite among investors.

The Iran war failed to trigger a recession. Can the US economy keep defying expectations?

Nearly four months after the start of the Iran war, the US economy remains remarkably resilient. While the conflict initially triggered a severe disruption to global energy markets and a sharp rise in Oil prices, recent diplomatic progress between Washington and Tehran has eased concerns about a prolonged supply shock.

Kevin Warsh offers no policy clues: Why markets still got their answer

Financial markets came to Sintra looking for clues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) next move. They largely left with confirmation that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh intends to make those clues much harder to find.