|

USD/CAD trades sideways around 1.3460 ahead of the US consumer confidence data

  • USD/CAD consolidates in a narrow trading band near 1.3458 on Tuesday.
  • The downtick in oil prices undermines the commodity-linked Loonie.
  • Most Fed officials still anticipate further rate hikes later this year.
  • Market players will monitor the Canadian GDP and, the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index on Friday.

The USD/CAD pair oscillates in a narrow range during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The weakening of the Loonie is weighed by the downtick in oil prices while the higher for longer narrative in the US lifts the US Dollar (USD) across the board. As of writing, USD/CAD is trading around 1.3457, gaining 0.02% on the day.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the value of the USD relative to a basket of foreign currencies, hovers around 105.95 after retreating from the highest level since November of 106.09 amid the USD demand and a rising of the US 10-year yield to the highest level since October 2007.

That said, the oil price edges lower for two straight days on Tuesday, which undermines the commodity-linked Loonie and might cap the upside for the USD/CAD pair as the country is the leading oil exporter to the US.

Most Fed officials still anticipate further rate hikes later this year. Susan Collins and Mary Daly, Presidents of the Federal Reserve Banks of Boston and San Francisco, stressed that, although inflation is slowing, future rate rises are likely. While Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said that a soft landing is possible, inflation risks remain elevated, and the Fed should be fully committed to bringing inflation to 2%. These hawkish comments from Fed officials boost the USD and act as a tailwind for the USD/CAD pair.

Moving on, the US Consumer Confidence for September and housing data will be due later on Tuesday. On Thursday, the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Annualized for the second quarter will be released. The closely watched event will be the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of consumer inflation, due on Friday. The annual figure is expected to drop from 4.2% to 3.9%. Also, Canadian GDP numbers will be due on Friday. Market players will take cues from these figures and find a clear direction in the USD/CAD pair.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.346
Today Daily Change0.0006
Today Daily Change %0.04
Today daily open1.3454
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3545
Daily SMA501.3446
Daily SMA1001.34
Daily SMA2001.3461
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3492
Previous Daily Low1.3453
Previous Weekly High1.3528
Previous Weekly Low1.3379
Previous Monthly High1.364
Previous Monthly Low1.3184
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3468
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3477
Daily Pivot Point S11.3441
Daily Pivot Point S21.3428
Daily Pivot Point S31.3402
Daily Pivot Point R11.3479
Daily Pivot Point R21.3505
Daily Pivot Point R31.3518

Author

Lallalit Srijandorn

Lallalit Srijandorn is a Parisian at heart. She has lived in France since 2019 and now becomes a digital entrepreneur based in Paris and Bangkok.

More from Lallalit Srijandorn
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD bounces toward 1.1750 as US Dollar loses strength

EUR/USD returned to the 1.1750 price zone in the American session on Friday, despite falling Wall Street, which indicates risk aversion. Trading conditions remain thin following the New Year holiday and ahead of the weekend, with the focus shifting to US employment and European data scheduled for next week.

GBP/USD nears 1.3500, holds within familiar levels

After testing 1.3400 on the last day of 2025, GBP/USD managed to stage a rebound. Nevertheless, the pair finds it difficult to gather momentum and trades with modest intraday gains at around 1.3490 as market participants remain in holiday mood.

Gold trims intraday gains, approaches $4,300

Gold retreated sharply from the $4,400  area and trades flat for the day in the $4,320 price zone. Choppy trading conditions exacerbated the intraday decline, although XAU/USD bearish case is out of the picture, considering growing expectations for a dovish Fed and persistent geopolitical tensions.

Cardano gains early New Year momentum, bulls target falling wedge breakout

Cardano kicks off the New Year on a positive note and is extending gains, trading above $0.36 at the time of writing on Friday. Improving on-chain and derivatives data point to growing bullish interest, while the technical outlook keeps an upside breakout in focus.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).