Canadian employment surprised well to the upside with job growth of 154K in November, smashing the market consensus for 37.5K. A much stronger jobs number alongside a disappointment in US payrolls leaves the CAD in a decent position to outperform into next week's Bank of Canada (BoC) meeting, according to economists at TD Securities.
A lot of bad news looks to be in the price
“The November employment report crushed expectations with job growth of 154K, over 4x the market consensus for a 37.5k print. Full and part-time employment both saw large gains while unemployment fell to 6.0%, hours worked rose by 0.7% MoM, and wage growth accelerated to 3.0% YoY.”
“A strong jobs print alongside a well-priced hawkish Fed suggest that USD/CAD could be forming a short-term top in 1.28/29.”
“As for the BoC, they are likely to take a pass at announcing anything major next week but given CAD price action in recent weeks, we suspect a lot of bad news is in the price and risk/reward looks more favorable on betting on a hawkish surprise.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.