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USD/CAD Technical Analysis: Snapping two-month losing streak, 50-month MA is key support

  • USD/CAD is on track to post the first monthly gain since August. 
  • The 50-month moving average has restricted downside since June and is the level to beat for the bears. 

USD/CAD is currently trading at 1.3285, representing a 0.92% gain on the monthly opening price of 1.3164. 

The pair is on track to post a monthly gain for the first time since August. Back then, the pair had risen by 0.89% only to drop 0.51% and 0.58% in September and October, respectively. 

Notably, the sellers have repeatedly failed to keep the pair below the 50-month moving average since June. In fact, similar price action has been observed on multiple occasions over the last two years. 

For instance, the pair ended the month below the key average in January 2018 only to rise back sharply in the following month. However, back then, the MA was trending north, indicating a bullish setup. 

Currently, the MA is pretty much flatlined, a sign of weakening of bullish momentum. As a result, a big drop could be seen if the MA support at 1.3125 is breached next month. 

On the higher side, 1.3565 (May high) is the level to beat for the bulls. 

Monthly chart

Trend: Bearish below 50-month MA

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3286
Today Daily Change0.0004
Today Daily Change %0.03
Today daily open1.3282
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3237
Daily SMA501.3218
Daily SMA1001.3218
Daily SMA2001.3278
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.33
Previous Daily Low1.3234
Previous Weekly High1.3328
Previous Weekly Low1.3156
Previous Monthly High1.3349
Previous Monthly Low1.3042
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3259
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3275
Daily Pivot Point S11.3243
Daily Pivot Point S21.3205
Daily Pivot Point S31.3176
Daily Pivot Point R11.331
Daily Pivot Point R21.3339
Daily Pivot Point R31.3377

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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