|

USD/CAD stays in the upper half of its daily range above 1.3050

  • Greenback sticks to recovery gains despite dismal data.
  • US Dollar Index looks to close the day in the positive territory.
  • WTI fails to stay above the $68 mark on Thursday.

After closing the previous day a few pips above the 1.30 mark, the USD/CAD pair erased the majority of this week's losses on Thursday as the loonie failed to preserve its strength amid falling crude oil prices. At the moment, the pair is trading at 1.3060, adding 0.5% on the day.

Despite the disappointing macroeconomic data releases from the United States, the greenback was able to hold on to its recovery gains in the NA session and was last seen moving sideways near 95.50, where it was up 0.43% on the day. The PMI data released by Markit today showed that activity in both the manufacturing and service sectors expanded at a slower pace than expected. Furthermore, new home sales declined by 1.7% and the Kansas Fed's Manufacturing Index fell to 10 in August from 22 in July.

A technical correction seems to be the primary fuel of the USD's upsurge today. Meanwhile, markets are expecting Fed officials to reiterate the central bank's independence at the Jackson Hole Symposium. Earlier today, speaking to news outlets at the sidelines at the symposium, Kansas Fed President George said that President Trump's comments wouldn't impact her decision to vote for two more rate hikes before the end of the year.

On a positive note for the loonie, Canada's Minister of Foreign Affairs Chrystia Freeland said that she was encouraged by the optimism of NAFTA partners and the progress the U.S. and Mexico were showing was an essential step toward agreeing on a new deal. 

In the meantime, following yesterday's strong rally, crude oil reversed its course and the barrel of West Texas Intermediate was last trading at $67.60, losing 50 cents on the day. 

Technical outlook

The initial support for the pair aligns at 1.3000 (psychological level) ahead of 1.2960 (Aug. 7 low) and 1.2920 (Jun. 8 low). On the upside, resistances are located at 1.3080 (daily high), 1.3110 (50-DMA) and 1.3175 (Aug. 16 high).

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD pulls back from monthly high but holds above 0.7000

AUD/USD retreats from the monthly high set earlier this Thursday, sliding back to 0.7000 during the Asian session as a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East undermines the risk-sensitive Aussie. However, recent hawkish comments from RBA officials could support the Australian Dollar. Furthermore, the prevailing US Dollar selling bias, despite Fed hike bets and geopolitical uncertainties, could limit losses for the pair.

USD/JPY declines to a one-week low; eyes trading range support near 157.50 on weaker USD

USD/JPY drops to a one-week low during Thursday’s Asian session, with bears now awaiting a break below multi-week range support near mid-157.00s before placing fresh bets amid a broadly weaker US Dollar. Despite bets for a December Fed rate hike and Middle East jitters, the recent decline in US bond yields keeps USD depressed near a three-week low. Moreover, hawkish BoJ expectations and intervention risks underpin the Japanese Yen, further weighing on the currency pair.

Gold bounces off monthly low as USD selling remains unabated amid falling bond yields

Gold pares heavy intraday losses to the monthly trough, though it retains an intraday bearish tone below $4,100 during Thursday’s early European session. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated as Federal Reserve officials recently signaled there is no urgency to raise interest rates at the upcoming October 27–28 meeting. Furthermore, US bond yields extend their retracement slide from multi-year highs, keeping USD bulls on the back foot and offering some support to the precious metal.

Dogecoin stays weak despite whales and new deal

Dogecoin price remains under pressure, trading below $0.081 despite a modest rebound earlier this week. Santiment data shows signs of accumulation, and Wednesday’s announcement of a Dogecoin Labs partnership with the Dogecoin Foundation adds a mildly bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, mixed derivatives metrics and weakening momentum indicators continue to limit the meme coin recovery.

3 Gold forecasts at $4,100: A bullish Arc rejection, a bearish Fed setup and a festival tiebreaker

Gold (XAU/USD) is trading near $4,100, and the three latest analyses cannot agree on what the level means: one sees the bounce from support as confirmation of a potential push toward $4,227, another argues every rally is vulnerable while price sits under its 20-day EMA, and the third points to India's Diwali buying season as the physical test about to meet the market.

The US Dollar fell. Gold didn't rally. That tells you everything
Gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to capitalize on a weaker US Dollar (USD), after repeatedly failing to establish itself above the $4,200 level. The precious metal remains confined to a relatively narrow trading range despite a combination of developments that would normally support higher prices.