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USD/CAD stays below 1.4000 ahead of Poloz speech

  • USD/CAD is moving sideways in a narrow band near 1.4000.
  • Crude oil is consolidating last week's gains in quiet day.
  • BoC Governor Poloz will deliver a speech on policy outlook at 1730 GMT.

Similar to other major currency pairs, USD/CAD is moving sideways in a tight channel on Monday amid thin trading conditions. As of writing, the pair was down 0.05% on a daily basis at 1.3988.

Crude oil rally takes a break

Last week, rising crude oil prices helped the commodity-sensitive loonie outperform its major rivals. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) gained more than 12% on a weekly basis to close around mid-$33s. Although the WTI edged lower during the Asian session on Monday, it recovered the majority of its losses and seems to be staying in a consolidation phase above $33.

Financial markets in the US will be closed in observance of Memorial Day on Monday and the pair is likely to stay quiet ahead of Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Stephen Poloz's speech at 1730 GMT. Reflecting the subdued trading action, the US Dollar Index is staying virtually unchanged on the day near 99.80.

Poloz will be delivering a speech entitled "Monetary Policy in Unknowable Time," which will be followed by a Q&A session. On Tuesday, Poloz and BoC Deputy Governor Carolyn Wilkins will be testifying before parliament at 2100 GMT as well.

Meanwhile, the US economic docket on Tuesday will feature New Home Sales, Conference Board (CB) Consumer Confidence Index and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index data.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3992
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.4
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.4011
Daily SMA501.4089
Daily SMA1001.368
Daily SMA2001.3446
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.4049
Previous Daily Low1.3942
Previous Weekly High1.4114
Previous Weekly Low1.3867
Previous Monthly High1.4299
Previous Monthly Low1.385
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.4008
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3982
Daily Pivot Point S11.3944
Daily Pivot Point S21.3889
Daily Pivot Point S31.3837
Daily Pivot Point R11.4052
Daily Pivot Point R21.4104
Daily Pivot Point R31.4159

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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