|

USD/CAD slides to its lowest since November, eyes mid-1.3200s amid weaker USD

  • USD/CAD drops to its lowest level since November amid the prevalent USD selling bias.
  • Expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates later this year weigh on the Greenback.
  • The overnight slump in oil prices undermines the Loonie and might help limit the slide.

The USD/CAD pair remains under some selling pressure for the third successive day on Thursday and drops to its lowest level since November 16 during the first half of the European session. The pair currently trades around the 1.3265 region and seems vulnerable to prolong its downward trajectory amid sustained US Dollar weakness.

In fact, the USD Index, which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, hits a fresh nine-month low and is pressured by a less-hawkish Fed. As was widely expected, the US central bank decided to raise the policy rate by 25 bps and reiterated its commitment to keep hiking interest rates high to cool price pressures. Comments from the Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at the press conference afterwards, however, suggesting there were signs interest rates were having a "disnflationary" effect, flipped the narrative, weighing on the buck and acting as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair.

From CAD's perspective, the overnight slump in crude oil prices - to a three-week low - undermines the commodity-linked Loonie and lends some support to the USD/CAD pair. Apart from this, the cautious market mood, along with a modest uptick in the US Treasury bond yields, helps limit losses for the Greenback. This, in turn, is holding back bearish traders from placing fresh bets around the major, though acceptance below the 1.3300 mark supports prospects for a further depreciating move. Hence, a subsequent fall to November 2022 low, around the 1.3230-1.3225 area, looks like a distinct possibility.

Market participants now look to the release of the Weekly Initial Jobless Claims from the US, due later during the early North American session. The data might influence the USD, which, along with Crude Oil price dynamics, should provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair. The focus, however, will remain glued to the closely-watched US monthly jobs report - popularly known as NFP on Friday.

Technical levels to watch

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3264
Today Daily Change-0.0024
Today Daily Change %-0.18
Today daily open1.3288
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3396
Daily SMA501.3499
Daily SMA1001.3531
Daily SMA2001.3216
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.338
Previous Daily Low1.3267
Previous Weekly High1.3428
Previous Weekly Low1.33
Previous Monthly High1.3685
Previous Monthly Low1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.331
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3337
Daily Pivot Point S11.3243
Daily Pivot Point S21.3198
Daily Pivot Point S31.3129
Daily Pivot Point R11.3357
Daily Pivot Point R21.3425
Daily Pivot Point R31.347

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with weekly lows near 1.1770

EUR/USD now comes under further selling pressure, breaking below the 1.1800 support to challenge the area of weekly throughs near 1.1770 on Thursday. The pair’s decline comes in response to marked gains in the US Dollar amid steady geopolitical tensions. Ealier in the day, the ECB’s Lagarde delivered cautious remarks, although the currency remained apathetic.

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold trims gains, slips back to around $5,170

Gold is now facing some downside pressure, hovering around the $5,170 region on Thursday. The yellow metal surrenders part of its earlier gains on the back of the resurgence of the buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to limit the downside potential for now.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.