|

USD/CAD slid to three-day fresh lows despite a hawkish Fed

  • Fed keeps interest rates unchanged.
  • Moderation in the asset purchases program “may soon be warranted.”
  • USD/CAD is seesawing around a 40 pip range.

The USD/CAD is slumping to three-day lows, below 1.2700 following the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision just released. Firstly the pair rose to 1.2760, then dipped to around 1.2694 is currently sitting at 1.2767down 0.64%, at the time of writing.

Key takeaways from Summary of Economic Projections

"Fed policymakers see a first rate hike in 2022: median forecast in Summary of Economic Projections."

"Half of Fed policymakers see lift-off in fed funds rate from zero in 2022, vs. 7 of 18 in June forecast; all but one see liftoff by end-2023 (vs. 13 in June)."

"Fed's median view of fed funds rate at end-2022 0.3% (prev 0.1%)."

"Fed's median view of fed funds rate at end-2023 1.0% (prev 0.6%)."

"Fed's median view of fed funds rate at end-2024 1.8%."

"Fed's median view of fed funds rate in longer run 2.5% (prev 2.5%)."

"Fed sees year-end US jobless rate at 4.8% in 2021 (prev 4.5%), 3.8% in 2022, 3.5% in 2023; 3.5% in 2024; median long-run forecast at 4.0% (prev 4.0%)."

"Fed sees PCE inflation at 4.2% in 2021 (prev 3.4%), 2.2% in 2022, 2.2% in 2023; 2.1% in 2024."

"Fed sees Core PCE inflation at 3.7% in 2021 (prev 3.0%), 2.3% in 2022, 2.2% in 2023; 2.1% in 2024."

"Fed policymakers see inflation running higher than 2% goal through end-2024: median forecast in Summary of Economic Projections."

Focus on Powell press conference

Next is the Fed’s Chairman Jerome Powell press conference. Firstly will read the monetary policy statement followed by the Q&A session.
 

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD keeps the rangebound trade near 1.1850

EUR/USD is still under pressure, drifting back towards the 1.1850 area as Monday’s session draws to a close. The modest decline in spot comes as the US Dollar picks up a bit of support, while thin liquidity and muted volatility, thanks to the US market holiday, are exaggerating price swings and keeping trading conditions choppy.
 

GBP/USD flirts with daily lows near 1.3630

GBP/USD has quickly given back Friday’s solid gains, turning lower at the start of the week and drifting back towards the 1.3630 area. The focus now shifts squarely to Tuesday’s UK labour market report, which is likely to keep the quid firmly in the spotlight and could set the tone for Cable’s next move.

Gold sticks to a negative bias below $5,000; lacks bearish conviction

Gold remains depressed for the second consecutive day and trades below the $5,000 psychological mark during the Asian session on Tuesday, as a positive risk tone is seen undermining safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, bets for more interest rate cuts by the Fed keep a lid on the recent US Dollar bounce and act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion, warranting caution for bearish traders ahead of FOMC minutes on Wednesday.

AI Crypto Update: Bittensor eyes breakout as AI tokens falter 

The artificial intelligence (AI) cryptocurrency segment is witnessing heightened volatility, with top tokens such as Near Protocol (NEAR) struggling to gain traction amid the persistent decline in January and February.

US CPI is cooling but what about inflation?

The January CPI data give the impression that the Federal Reserve is finally winning the war against inflation. Not only was the data cooler than expected, but it’s also beginning to edge close to the mystical 2 percent target. CBS News called it “the best inflation news we've had in months.”

XRP steadies in narrow range as fund inflows, futures interest rise

Ripple is trading in a narrow range between $1.45 (immediate support) and $1.50 (resistance) at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token extended its recovery last week, peaking at $1.67 on Sunday from the weekly open at $1.43.